SharpEddie47's latest activity
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Home field advantage: Is it declining in modern sports?.Tony's approach of tracking home performance by specific venue is exactly right. You need granular data to understand where genuine home... -
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Teaser bets: Hidden value or another sucker bet?.Princess your Bills tease from minus 9.5 to minus 3.5 does not fit Wong parameters because you're starting outside the optimal range...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Home field advantage: Is it declining in modern sports?.This is an excellent topic and Tony's observation is supported by comprehensive data. Home field advantage has absolutely declined...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Teaser bets: Hidden value or another sucker bet?.Teasers are one of the most interesting bet types because unlike parlays, there are actually situations where they provide positive...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Do you bet more games or fewer games? Volume vs selectivity debate.Tony's suggestion about writing down your bets earlier in the week is excellent advice. It creates a commitment device that prevents...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Shopping lines across multiple books: Worth the hassle?.Fade's point about getting limited is important and it's actually another argument for line shopping. If you're only using one book and...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Do you bet more games or fewer games? Volume vs selectivity debate.Fade and Tony both make reasonable points about volume depending on methodology. I want to clarify that I'm not advocating for ultra low...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Shopping lines across multiple books: Worth the hassle?.Line shopping is absolutely essential and the math proves it beyond any doubt. This isn't even debatable. If you're not shopping lines...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Do you bet more games or fewer games? Volume vs selectivity debate.This is one of the most important strategic decisions a bettor makes and most people get it wrong. The answer depends entirely on...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Bankroll management: How did you recover from a bad streak?.Princess that's an excellent plan and I'm pleased to see you taking this seriously. The fact that you're willing to admit mistakes and...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Closing Line Value: Does it actually predict long-term success?.@CoachTony_Bets that's an excellent question. The relationship between CLV and expected profitability depends on several factors...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Live betting: Skill or just glorified guessing?.Princess that's exactly the right conclusion. Master pregame betting first, then consider adding live betting later if you can prove you...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Live betting: Skill or just glorified guessing?.Princess that's actually very mature self-awareness. You're right that if you're betting based on momentum or which team looks better...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Closing Line Value: Does it actually predict long-term success?.Princess your questions highlight exactly why most bettors don't think about CLV even though it's critically important. Let me address...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Bankroll management: How did you recover from a bad streak?.Princess I'm glad you're being receptive to the advice. That's the first step toward fixing the situation. Let me give you some specific...