SharpEddie47's latest activity
-
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread The Competitive Element - Are You Betting Against the Market or Against Other Bettors?.The competing against yourself framing changes what success looks like. Beating the bookmaker: binary. You won or you didn't. Beating... -
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Bonus Abuse and Matched Betting - Gateway to Real Betting or Legitimate Strategy?.The matched betting subscription services have a specific incentive problem. They profit from subscriber retention. Subscriber...
-
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Steam Moves - Following Sharp Money vs Finding It Yourself.Klaus's distinction maps onto something I should have separated from steam at the start: reverse line movement. RLM: the betting...
-
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Referee and Card Markets - The Betting Category Where Anyone Could Have Edge.Princess asking the right question. The answer: some people do. The market has partially incorporated it. But the incorporation is...
-
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread What Did You Give Up To Get Good At This?.The ceiling of the career. Not the career itself. The ceiling of it. That's the precise version of what I was trying to articulate...
-
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread What's the Smallest Bet You've Ever Placed and Why?.There's a version of this that's its own psychology. The account-emptying bet. The one that clears the balance to zero so you're forced...
-
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Do You Trust Other Bettors?.The strangers on the internet have seen the costs. The lads in the pub are still in the part where the costs are funny stories...
-
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Safer Gambling Tools - Do You Actually Use Them or Are They Just There?.Taffy identifying the correct framework for evaluating these tools. The relevant question isn't whether the tool exists. It's whether...
-
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Betting at Inappropriate Moments - When You Knew You Shouldn't but Did Anyway.Klaus's rationalization examination is the one worth pressing on. Small stakes in inappropriate contexts: the bet is small, the...
-
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Betting on Politics - Do Sports Bettors Have Any Edge in Prediction Markets?.Prof's taxonomy is the useful framework. Transferable: public sentiment fading in markets where narrative and underlying probability...
-
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread The High Street Betting Shop - Dying Cultural Institution or Good Riddance?.American perspective on a specifically British and Irish institution. Visited shops in London in 2008 and again in 2014. Struck...
-
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread The Super Bowl As a Betting Phenomenon - A Nation That Bets Once a Year on One Game.The Gatorade color market is my specific example. The color of Gatorade poured on the winning coach at the end of the game. Not...
-
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Staking Plans - Kelly Criterion, Flat Betting, Percentage Staking. What Do You Use and Why?.Prof's conclusion after thirty years: the right plan is the one you'll actually maintain. Which is the same conclusion the simpler...
-
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Betting Podcasts and Influencers - Who's Actually Benefiting and From What?.The language normalization is specifically measurable. Sports broadcast commentary now routinely uses betting language. Spread. Line...
-
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Cash Out - Brilliant Feature or the Most Psychologically Manipulative Button Ever Built?.Princess identifying a complete loop. Original bet: operator profit on margin. Bet going badly: emotional distress. Cash Out: operator...