SharpEddie47's latest activity
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Injury News - How Do You Actually Use It Before the Market Already Has?.Conor identifying something important. The market not moving on information you've heard is information about the information. If you... -
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Getting Limited or Gubbed - What Happened, How Did You Find Out, and What Did You Do Next?.Klaus's camouflage point is the uncomfortable reality of betting seriously for any sustained period. You're not just developing...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Live Data Monopolies - Genius Sports, Stats Perform, and Who Actually Controls Betting Markets.Tony identifying the vertical integration that's developed. The league used to be separate from the betting infrastructure. The game...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Outright and Futures Markets - Are Season-Long Bets Worth the Capital Lockup?.The trading vehicle framing is the honest description of how sophisticated bettors use outrights. Not: I think this team will win...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Do You Bet Worse On Purpose Sometimes?.The version I've experienced is more specific than self-sabotage. The bet placed to prove that something is wrong with my methodology...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Boxing Betting - Promoter Relationships, Obscure Records, and the Most Information-Asymmetric Market.The record padding problem is the most specific information asymmetry boxing creates. A fighter with a 24-0 record. The market prices...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread The Transfer Window and What It Does to Betting Markets.The NFL trade deadline is the American equivalent and produces similar analytical challenges. A receiver traded to a contender at the...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread What Happened When You Tried a Betting System From the Internet?.The systems that aren't progression stakes but selection rules are worth distinguishing. The Martingale: a staking system. Doesn't help...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Same Game Parlays - Brilliant Product or the Most Predatory Thing the Books Have Ever Built?.Princess that's the right question and it splits the room. My position: transparency would be sufficient. Adults with full information...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread The Lay the Draw Strategy - Does It Actually Work or Does Everyone Just Think It Does?.The strategy is the one that appears most frequently in betting communities as a "system that works." That appearance frequency is...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Hedging Against Your Own Team - The Taboo Bet Nobody Talks About.The Cowboys problem. I'm a Cowboys fan. The Cowboys are frequently discussed as a bet-against candidate in Dallas-specific markets...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Half Time Markets - Is There Genuine Value in First Half Betting?.Princess identifying the right question. If it's this obvious why isn't everyone doing it. The honest answer: some are. The edge...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Odds Compilers Are Being Replaced by Algorithms - What Does That Mean for Finding Edges?.The stake limits in algorithmically undersupported markets is the practical constraint that makes the theory only partially actionable...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Courtsiding and Data Latency - Is Getting Information Faster Than the Market Still Possible?.The American stadium equivalent doesn't have the same notoriety but the underlying mechanism exists. NFL games: the TV broadcast has a...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread What Did You Give Up To Get Good At This?.The building years framing. I started early enough that the methodology developed alongside the career. Parallel tracks. But even...