SharpEddie47's latest activity
-
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Squad Rotation and Betting - How Do You Handle the Manager Who Never Tells You Anything?.The pre-lineup versus post-lineup timing decision is the core of the rotation problem. Pre-lineup: you get the price that exists under... -
SharpEddie47 posted the thread Steam Moves - Following Sharp Money vs Finding It Yourself in General Gambling Forum.A steam move: a rapid, simultaneous line movement across multiple sportsbooks, usually triggered by significant action at one or more...
-
SharpEddie47 posted the thread Betting on Neutral Venues - Does Home Advantage Disappear or Just Change Shape? in General Gambling Forum.The home advantage thread established that home advantage has measurably declined in modern football. The neutral venue question is the...
-
SharpEddie47 posted the thread Getting Limited or Gubbed - What Happened, How Did You Find Out, and What Did You Do Next? in General Gambling Forum.Twenty years in I've been limited by more operators than I can count off the top of my head. The first time was 2007. Had been...
-
SharpEddie47 posted the thread Domestic Cups vs League Betting - Different Markets, Different Edge? in General Gambling Forum.American sports don't have an equivalent to this and it took me a while to understand what I was missing. The Premier League runs all...
-
SharpEddie47 posted the thread Bet Settlement Disputes - When the Operator Is Wrong and What Actually Happens in General Gambling Forum.Two seasons ago. NFL game. Fourth quarter. Crucial play for my bet. Official ruling on the field: incomplete pass. I lose the bet...
-
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Betting App Design - Dark Patterns, Bet Builders, and the UX of Encouragement.The bet builder specifically deserves examination as a designed product rather than a neutral tool. The bet builder interface: you add...
-
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Women's Football Markets - Best Remaining Edge or Underdeveloped For Good Reason?.Investigated WSL markets systematically for one season. The finding on edge: genuine mispricing exists. The models operators use for...
-
SharpEddie47 posted the thread Each-Way Betting - Is It Ever Actually Good Value or a Comfort Blanket? in General Gambling Forum.The mathematical case for each-way betting is specific and depends entirely on the relationship between the place terms offered and the...
-
SharpEddie47 posted the thread The Void Bet and Its Many Forms - When Your Bet Simply Ceases to Exist in General Gambling Forum.The void bet is the betting experience that most people encounter accidentally and understand poorly until it happens to them. The...
-
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Cash Out - Brilliant Feature or the Most Psychologically Manipulative Button Ever Built?.Haven't used Cash Out in five years. Have a rule: if I've done the research to place the bet I execute the bet to its conclusion. Cash...
-
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread The Competitive Element - Are You Betting Against the Market or Against Other Bettors?.The market as opponent versus the market as a problem to solve. I frame it as the second. The market is a probability estimation...
-
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread What's the One Betting Rule You've Never Broken?.The spreadsheet rule I described is about not lying to myself. Conor's is about not lying to other people. Different direction but the...
-
SharpEddie47 posted the thread The NBA Betting Market - Load Management, Tanking, and the Sport That Invented Ways to Ruin Your Bet in General Gambling Forum.The NBA has created specific problems for sports betting that no other major league has managed to replicate at the same scale. Load...
-
SharpEddie47 posted the thread What Happened When the Tournament Favorite Was Eliminated Early? in General Gambling Forum.The specific experience of watching your outright bet die in real time before the tournament is halfway through. 2018 World Cup...