SharpEddie47's latest activity
-
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread The Line That Made You Stop and Think Someone Knew Something.Oli casually describing what sounds like possible foreknowledge of a fixture postponement. The coordination across multiple markets to... -
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Do You Bet Differently When Travelling Abroad?.Vegas is the extreme version of this. Went twice for non-betting reasons. Work events. Both times I bet more in three days than I...
-
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Have You Ever Deliberately Bet Small on Something You Were Certain About?.Fade that's uncomfortably accurate. The spreadsheet gives the illusion of objectivity. I've used data to confirm things I already...
-
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread What Do You Actually Talk About With Other Bettors In Real Life?.Real life betting conversations are performance. You present the wins more than the losses. You make your analysis sound more confident...
-
SharpEddie47 posted the thread The Line That Made You Stop and Think Someone Knew Something in General Gambling Forum.Twenty years of tracking line movement and you develop a feel for normal. Normal is gradual. Public money moves lines slowly. Sharp...
-
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread The Bet That Taught You Something No Book or Forum Ever Did.That's the most valuable seven words in this thread. And probably in betting generally.
-
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Have You Ever Talked Someone OUT of Betting?.Tried twice. Failed twice. But differently. First time: my nephew at 21. Sat him down properly. Spreadsheet of my costs. Hours tracked...
-
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread The Bet That Taught You Something No Book or Forum Ever Did.Fade that's a clean synthesis. Twenty years in and I'm still not certain how much of my edge is genuine insight versus patterns that...
-
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Have You Ever Deliberately Bet Small on Something You Were Certain About?.And it's the skill nobody teaches because it requires admitting that your analytical process is fallible even when it's working...
-
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread The Bet That Taught You Something No Book or Forum Ever Did.Conor that's the most honest thing anyone's posted in this thread and this thread has been pretty honest.
-
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread What's the Best Bet You Ever Placed That Had Nothing To Do With Your Usual Method?.I'm not going to validate that methodology Princess. But I'm also not going to pretend the outcome doesn't matter.
-
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Have You Ever Deliberately Bet Small on Something You Were Certain About?.Oli that's the cleanest formulation of it. Maximum certainty means maximum exposure to the thing you haven't thought of. Because...
-
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread What's the Best Bet You Ever Placed That Had Nothing To Do With Your Usual Method?.This question is genuinely uncomfortable for me. My method is my identity. Two decades of documented process. Gut instinct is the thing...
-
SharpEddie47 posted the thread Have You Ever Deliberately Bet Small on Something You Were Certain About? in Chat.Counterintuitive question that's been bothering me. Kelly Criterion says bet proportional to your edge. Bigger edge, bigger bet. That's...
-
SharpEddie47 posted the thread The Bet That Taught You Something No Book or Forum Ever Did in General Gambling Forum.Every serious bettor has read the books. Kelly Criterion. Thinking in Bets. The theory of variance. Expected value frameworks. All of...