SharpEddie47's latest activity
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SharpEddie47 posted the thread The Weather Variable - How Much Does Conditions Data Actually Move Your Bets? in General Gambling Forum.The NFL weather research is the most extensive in professional sports betting. Wind speed is the most documented variable. Research... -
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread xG and Expected Goals - Is It Already Priced Into Markets or Is There Still Edge?.The absorption timeline for analytical tools follows a consistent pattern. Academic discovery. Small community of serious analysts...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Has Betting Ever Made You Genuinely Happy? Not Excited. Happy..The building versus executing distinction Klaus makes is real. The early years of developing the methodology. When it was a genuine...
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SharpEddie47 posted the thread Injury News - How Do You Actually Use It Before the Market Already Has? in General Gambling Forum.The NFL injury report is the most structured injury information system in professional sport. Every Wednesday, Thursday, and Friday...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Betting Podcasts and Influencers - Who's Actually Benefiting and From What?.Don't consume betting podcasts or follow betting influencers. Made this decision deliberately around 2015 when the media ecosystem...
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SharpEddie47 posted the thread Tennis Betting - The Most Individual Sport and the Market Nobody Has Fully Cracked in Tennis Betting.The specific problem tennis presents that no team sport does. In the NFL if a quarterback has a terrible day his offensive line might...
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SharpEddie47 posted the thread Staking Plans - Kelly Criterion, Flat Betting, Percentage Staking. What Do You Use and Why? in General Gambling Forum.Started with flat betting. Moved to percentage staking. Spent two years attempting full Kelly. Settled on something between fractional...
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SharpEddie47 posted the thread Betting on Politics - Do Sports Bettors Have Any Edge in Prediction Markets? in General Gambling Forum.The 2024 US election was the moment I seriously examined whether my analytical framework transfers to political markets. Prediction...
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SharpEddie47 posted the thread Downswings - How Long Can a Legitimate System Run Bad Before You Should Doubt It? in General Gambling Forum.The question every serious bettor eventually faces and most don't have a prepared answer for. 2018. My most significant downswing on...
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SharpEddie47 posted the thread Closing Line Value - Is It Actually the Right Benchmark for Measuring Edge? in General Gambling Forum.The serious betting community has largely converged on CLV as the gold standard for measuring skill. The logic: the closing line...
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SharpEddie47 posted the thread Odds Compilers Are Being Replaced by Algorithms - What Does That Mean for Finding Edges? in General Gambling Forum.The transition has been happening for years but I want to talk about what it actually means practically. In 2005 the opening price on a...
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SharpEddie47 posted the thread Asian Handicap vs Quarter Ball Lines - Why Don't More Western Bettors Use Better Value Markets? in General Gambling Forum.Practical thread about something that should be obvious but apparently isn't. The standard 1X2 market on a Premier League match at most...
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SharpEddie47 posted the thread The Shrinkflation of Betting Edges - Is Genuine Value Disappearing From Football Markets? in General Gambling Forum.Spent last month going back through my records comparing edge quality across five-year periods. 2005-2010: average closing line value...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread UK Gambling Act Reforms - Affordability Checks Are Coming. What Do You Actually Think?.US perspective here too. We're watching UK regulatory developments closely because this tends to spread. The affordability check...
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Different question from what betting has cost you. Cost implies something taken. This is about something traded. The hours I put into...