Philo Park's latest activity
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Philo Park replied to the thread OddsLine: Model + AI match analysis archive (Poisson/Elo/ML).England v Argentina The market is leaning England here, if only barely, and the case rests on freshness. Both sides ground through 120... -
Philo Park replied to the thread OddsLine: Model + AI match analysis archive (Poisson/Elo/ML).France v Spain The market is leaning France here, and the case starts with the counter-attack. Mbappe has eight goals this tournament...
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Philo Park replied to the thread OddsLine: Model + AI match analysis archive (Poisson/Elo/ML).Djurgårdens IF v Halmstads BK The market is leaning overwhelmingly Djurgården here, and the case is straightforward. Halmstad sit...
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Philo Park replied to the thread OddsLine: Model + AI match analysis archive (Poisson/Elo/ML).Malmö FF v IFK Göteborg The market is leaning Malmö here, and the case starts with the venue history. They're unbeaten in their last...
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Philo Park replied to the thread OddsLine: Model + AI match analysis archive (Poisson/Elo/ML).Mjällby AIF v AIK Fotboll The market is leaning Mjällby here, and the case starts with home defensive solidity. They've conceded just...
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Philo Park replied to the thread OddsLine: Model + AI match analysis archive (Poisson/Elo/ML).Spain v Belgium The market is leaning heavily Spain here, and the case starts with a defense that simply hasn't been broken. Five clean...
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Philo Park posted the thread OddsLine: Model + AI match analysis archive (Poisson/Elo/ML) in Personal Threads/Tipsters.Posting this as a running archive rather than a tip sheet: match previews and analytical notes generated from my own model, which I'll...
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Philo Park reacted to Betting Forum's post in the thread AI's actual job in a betting process is reading speed, not judgement with
Like.
I agree 100% percent. What matters is how you use AI and what you feed it. In the end you need to review all of the process if you want... -
Philo Park posted the thread AI's actual job in a betting process is reading speed, not judgement in General Gambling Forum.Seeing more "AI value finder" talk lately and most of it treats AI like it has some causal understanding of sport. It doesn't. It works...
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Philo Park replied to the thread Match Fixing - How Real Is the Threat in the Markets You Actually Bet On?.It connects to something I've been thinking about from a modelling angle. If fixing activity is structurally concentrated in specific...
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Philo Park replied to the thread Betting on Politics - Do Sports Bettors Have Any Edge in Prediction Markets?.This is exactly the kind of question I think about a lot. I research and build football betting analytics tools full-time, so the "does...
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Philo Park replied to the thread Closing Line Value - Is It Actually the Right Benchmark for Measuring Edge?.This thread is touching on something most bettors get wrong, and I think the confusion has a specific origin worth naming. CLV is not a...