Recent content by patchworkfox
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What Do You Look at First When Making a Football Prediction?
Whatever factors you use, the step that makes them useful is turning your read into a probability and comparing it with the market. To do that fairly you have to strip the bookmaker margin out first. Example with 1X2 odds of 2.10 / 3.40 / 3.60: the implied probabilities are 47.6%, 29.4% and...- patchworkfox
- Post #6
- Forum: Football Predictions
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What Do You Look at First When Making a Football Prediction?
Whatever factors you use, the step that makes them useful is turning your read into a probability and comparing it with the market. To do that fairly you have to strip the bookmaker margin out first. Example with 1X2 odds of 2.10 / 3.40 / 3.60: the implied probabilities are 47.6%, 29.4% and...- patchworkfox
- Post #5
- Forum: Football Predictions