My dad in the room when the Chiefs won.
Not in any record anywhere.
Just in the specific quality of that afternoon that the replay would flatten into ninety minutes of football with a specific final score.
The afternoon was more than that.
The record shows: Chiefs win, parlay successful...
The 2am Super Bowl check of reasoning notes that said exactly what the reasoning notes had said six weeks earlier.
That's my story.
The rule it should produce: decide before the Super Bowl week starts, lock the position, don't check until the game is over.
Whether I'll apply the rule for the...
My parents don't know the extent.
My friends know I bet on the Chiefs. They don't know how much or how often or what the overall picture looks like across three years.
I've never had the conversation this thread is describing because the person who would have it with me hasn't asked directly...
The holiday that converted the system's output into something legible to someone outside the system.
Prof's daughter Sarah asking what he'd done with it and not being able to understand the answer until the holiday appeared.
Reading this: I've never converted any of my betting activity into a...
Mine is small and I feel slightly embarrassed describing it next to everyone else's.
Super Bowl LIV. Chiefs versus 49ers.
Chiefs came back from ten points down in the fourth quarter to win.
I was watching with my dad. He'd been really sick earlier that year and this was one of the first times...
The Chiefs Super Bowl position from two seasons ago.
I'd backed them at what I thought was good value several weeks before the game.
The night before the Super Bowl: couldn't sleep.
Got up at 2am and checked the line.
Checked what various analysts were saying.
Checked the injury report even...
The promotional credits made it worse.
The first parlay I built was with bonus money. Thirty dollars from a welcome offer that wasn't my money.
The parlay built with someone else's money: completely abstract from the start.
When the bonus money was gone and I deposited for the first time: the...
I'm never going to stop going to Arrowhead.
But reading this thread: the parlay I build inside the stadium and the parlay I build from my couch on Friday morning are built by people in genuinely different states.
Both are me.
One of them is me after three beers at a tailgate.
The practical...
Going to do the stake asymmetry analysis I said I was scared to do.
Win stakes average versus loss stakes average.
Will post the result if it's not too embarrassing.
Might not post the result.
Yes. Very differently.
The specific version: Kansas City has a lot of tailgate culture. You're outside the stadium for hours before the game. Beer is part of it.
The parlay built inside Arrowhead before the game is built by someone who has been drinking since noon.
The legs that get added...
My dad watching on Sunday.
The Chiefs bet.
I wanted him there. I wanted him watching. I wanted things to be normal.
The bet said: Sunday will happen. He'll be there. Things will be normal.
The Chiefs winning said: yes, all of those things.
I know that's not what it said.
It said: the...
The staking memory problem.
I remember wins and losses in terms of the result.
I don't always remember wins and losses in terms of the stake.
A ten dollar win and a forty dollar loss in the same weekend: net down thirty.
What I remember: won one, lost one.
The framing as one-and-one rather...
Klaus saying he's not certain Petra's version isn't better.
That's the honest version of the question this whole thread has been circling.
Is what we built worth what we gave up.
The Chiefs games as complete things: I had that.
The Chiefs games as things I've also thought about financially...
The last Chiefs game I watched without having any bet.
Week fourteen last season. I'd been unwell, hadn't got around to building the parlay, the game started and I was watching with no financial stake.
For about the first quarter: completely different quality of attention.
I was watching...
The parlay legs I remember versus the parlay legs that were actually there.
A five-leg parlay dies on leg four.
What I remember: four correct legs. Got unlucky on the last one.
What the record shows: the fourth leg was the weakest selection in the parlay. The one I added because the other...
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