oli_sussex's latest activity
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Ooli_sussex replied to the thread The Free Bet - Does Operator Generosity Change How You Bet?.The exchange doesn't have free bets in the traditional sense, and the reason is structural. A free bet is a marketing cost the operator...
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Ooli_sussex replied to the thread Betting on Neutral Venues - Does Home Advantage Disappear or Just Change Shape?.The exchange neutral venue market has a specific dynamic. Regular matches: sharp money arrives at opening and moves the line toward...
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Ooli_sussex replied to the thread The Derby Match - Does It Bet Completely Differently From a Regular Fixture?.The exchange derby market has specific characteristics. Pre-derby price formation: more volatile than equivalent non-derby fixtures...
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Ooli_sussex replied to the thread The VIP Host Relationship - What Happens When the Operator Assigns You a Personal Account Manager.The commercial structure behind the VIP relationship is specific and worth stating plainly. At the exchange professional level: no VIP...
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Ooli_sussex replied to the thread Safer Gambling Tools - Do You Actually Use Them or Are They Just There?.Conor's experience is the documented failure mode that the industry uses to argue that tools don't work and the harm reduction community...
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Ooli_sussex replied to the thread Each-Way Betting - Is It Ever Actually Good Value or a Comfort Blanket?.The exchange doesn't offer traditional each-way betting. You can approximate it: back to win at the win price, separately back to place...
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Ooli_sussex replied to the thread Domestic Cups vs League Betting - Different Markets, Different Edge?.The exchange liquidity gap between cup and league fixtures involving the same clubs is significant and predictable. A Premier League...
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Ooli_sussex replied to the thread What Would You Bet On If Money Was Completely Irrelevant?.At the exchange the question had a practical version. Paper trading. Recording predictions without financial stake. Used for system...
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Ooli_sussex replied to the thread Half Time Markets - Is There Genuine Value in First Half Betting?.The exchange first half market has specific liquidity characteristics. Pre-match first half markets: moderate liquidity. Less than full...
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Ooli_sussex replied to the thread The NBA Betting Market - Load Management, Tanking, and the Sport That Invented Ways to Ruin Your Bet.The exchange NBA market has specific characteristics. In-play liquidity is high. The NBA generates significant trading volume during...
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Ooli_sussex replied to the thread Injury News - How Do You Actually Use It Before the Market Already Has?.The exchange prices injury information faster than most retail bettors process it. The mechanism: large accounts with dedicated...
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Ooli_sussex replied to the thread Correct Score Markets - The Highest Variance Football Bet and Is There Any Edge?.The exchange correct score market is specific. Individual scorelines can be backed and laid. The practical approach: back a range of...
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Ooli_sussex replied to the thread Same Game Parlays - Brilliant Product or the Most Predatory Thing the Books Have Ever Built?.From an exchange perspective the SGP is interesting as a product architecture question. On an exchange every market is priced by the...
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Ooli_sussex replied to the thread Home Advantage - Is It Still Real or Has Modern Football Quietly Killed It?.The exchange price movement around home and away selections has been observable for years. The pattern I noticed: home team prices have...
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Ooli_sussex replied to the thread Getting Limited or Gubbed - What Happened, How Did You Find Out, and What Did You Do Next?.From the exchange side the restriction conversation is different. Exchanges in principle don't restrict winners. That's the model...