oli_sussex's latest activity
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Ooli_sussex replied to the thread Correct Score Markets - The Highest Variance Football Bet and Is There Any Edge?.The exchange correct score market is specific. Individual scorelines can be backed and laid. The practical approach: back a range of...
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Ooli_sussex replied to the thread Same Game Parlays - Brilliant Product or the Most Predatory Thing the Books Have Ever Built?.From an exchange perspective the SGP is interesting as a product architecture question. On an exchange every market is priced by the...
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Ooli_sussex replied to the thread Home Advantage - Is It Still Real or Has Modern Football Quietly Killed It?.The exchange price movement around home and away selections has been observable for years. The pattern I noticed: home team prices have...
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Ooli_sussex replied to the thread Getting Limited or Gubbed - What Happened, How Did You Find Out, and What Did You Do Next?.From the exchange side the restriction conversation is different. Exchanges in principle don't restrict winners. That's the model...
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Ooli_sussex replied to the thread Bonus Abuse and Matched Betting - Gateway to Real Betting or Legitimate Strategy?.The exchange perspective on matched bettors was specific. The exchange recognized matched betting activity immediately. The pattern was...
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Ooli_sussex replied to the thread Bet Settlement Disputes - When the Operator Is Wrong and What Actually Happens.The exchange settlement process is specifically different from traditional bookmaker settlement. Betfair settles on official data...
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Ooli_sussex replied to the thread UK Gambling Act Reforms - Affordability Checks Are Coming. What Do You Actually Think?.Tony correct. The offshore migration argument is legitimate as a calibration concern. It becomes a bad faith argument when used to...
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Ooli_sussex replied to the thread Cash Out - Brilliant Feature or the Most Psychologically Manipulative Button Ever Built?.The Cash Out pricing model from an exchange perspective. The exchange offers Cash Out by calculating your position's current value...
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Ooli_sussex replied to the thread Downswings - How Long Can a Legitimate System Run Bad Before You Should Doubt It?.At the exchange professional traders had a specific protocol for downswings. Mandatory review at pre-defined drawdown thresholds. Not...
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Ooli_sussex posted the thread Courtsiding and Data Latency - Is Getting Information Faster Than the Market Still Possible? in General Gambling Forum.Courtsiding is the practice of being physically present at a sporting event and transmitting what you've just witnessed to someone...
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Ooli_sussex posted the thread The Lay the Draw Strategy - Does It Actually Work or Does Everyone Just Think It Does? in General Gambling Forum.The Lay the Draw strategy has a specific appeal and a specific problem that the community discusses but never fully resolves. The...
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Ooli_sussex replied to the thread Cricket Betting - The Most Most Complex Sports Betting Market in the World?.Cricket on the exchange is the most liquid non-football, non-horse racing market. International cricket particularly. Test cricket at...
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Ooli_sussex replied to the thread Women's Football Markets - Best Remaining Edge or Underdeveloped For Good Reason?.Betfair women's football liquidity has grown since 2021 but remains thin relative to men's competitions. WSL match: typical pre-match...
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Ooli_sussex replied to the thread Micro-Betting Explosion - Edge or Trap?.The exchange perspective on this is specific. Exchange markets require liquidity. Liquidity requires multiple participants on both...
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Ooli_sussex replied to the thread xG and Expected Goals - Is It Already Priced Into Markets or Is There Still Edge?.The exchange perspective on xG adoption is specific. The exchange price reflects the aggregate of all participant models. 2016-2018...