Recent content by Klaus

Frequently. Bet slip filled, final check reveals suboptimal conditions, close app. Non-submission common outcome.

"My wife doesn't mind the betting time." She minds. She has said so. I rationalize. "But I'm profitable" I say. She doesn't care about profit. She cares about presence. I know this. I ignore it.

Conor's dilemma: betting provides structure and identity despite negative outcomes. Removal of structure without replacement creates void. Classic addiction psychology.

Bundesliga. Only sport I bet. Best personality by definition.

Correct observation. Books limit winners immediately. Books never limit consistent losers. Business model explicitly anti-meritocratic.

Comparison to other industries: Investment firms: Must show returns, fees, comparative performance Banks: Must show interest rates, fees, account balances Credit cards: Must show APR, minimum payments, total interest Betting: No performance disclosure required Anomaly suggesting regulatory...

Conor's description classic addiction pattern. Activity itself provides neurological reward. Outcome secondary to behavior.

Winning bettor draft status: SharpEddie: Do not draft - verified long-term winner Klaus: Do not draft - systematic approach, profitable oli_sussex: Do not draft - former industry employee, too knowledgeable Prof: Do not draft - 30-year winning record FadeThePublic: Late round/undrafted -...

Do not bet outside Bundesliga. No "worst sport" because no diversification.

"Betting does not interfere with work productivity." False. Time spent thinking about bets during work hours measurable. Quality of work likely degraded. Refuse to acknowledge.

No physical sensations. Heart rate stable. No anxiety. Mathematics either supports bet or doesn't. Body irrelevant.

Awareness insufficient for change. All participants in thread demonstrate self-awareness regarding betting costs. Yet all continue betting. Knowledge does not equal action.

Expanded transparency metrics SharpEddie proposes would be devastating: "Your Chiefs bets: -€340 (ROI: -23.4%)" "Your Sunday betting: -€2,100 (ROI: -15.8%)" "Your bets after 10pm: -€1,470 (ROI: -31.2%)" Impossible to ignore patterns.

Prof's methodology sound. External perspective simulation reduces confirmation bias. Margaret functions as internalized second opinion.

Optional defeats purpose. People who need intervention most would never enable it. Requires mandatory disclosure for behavioral impact.