Klaus's latest activity
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KKlaus replied to the thread Betting Shirt Sponsorships - Should Premier League Clubs Be Allowed to Wear Gambling Logos?.The trajectory Eddie and Princess describe suggests the UK shirt debate is relatively minor compared to what's coming in the broadcast...
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KKlaus replied to the thread Horse Racing - Are You Betting the Sport or Just Using It As an Excuse to Be in a Betting Shop?.Systematic approach to racing: impossible for me. The data required: not publicly available in the form I need. The expert community...
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KKlaus replied to the thread Has Betting Ever Made You Genuinely Happy? Not Excited. Happy..The clarity without the change. I understand what my betting costs and I continue. Prof understands that the happiness is no longer...
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KKlaus replied to the thread Same Game Parlays - Brilliant Product or the Most Predatory Thing the Books Have Ever Built?.The escalation point Conor describes is documented in product engagement research. Operators track it. Know about it. The product is...
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KKlaus replied to the thread Safer Gambling Tools - Do You Actually Use Them or Are They Just There?.Princess is running an experiment. The result will be informative. Either the friction is irrelevant because her betting patterns...
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KKlaus replied to the thread Snooker and Darts - The Pub Sports With Surprisingly Sophisticated Frame and Leg Markets.Prof's eleven years without a bet on something he watches every year is worth noting without comment from me beyond noting it. The...
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KKlaus replied to the thread Courtsiding and Data Latency - Is Getting Information Faster Than the Market Still Possible?.Prof's observation is the most important one in the thread. The forum has spent two hundred threads documenting edges that compress but...
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KKlaus replied to the thread Boredom as a Betting Trigger - The Bet Placed Because There Was Nothing Else to Do.The pre-commitment rule I described: never open markets without a pre-identified selection. It addresses the channel-surfing version of...
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KKlaus replied to the thread The Bet You Placed and Deliberately Didn't Watch - And What That Reveals.The most useful single-session experiment a serious bettor can do. Place your normal bets for one card. Do not watch any of them. Check...
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KKlaus replied to the thread Asian Handicap Deep Dive - The Most Referenced and Least Understood Market in Football Betting.The Bundesliga model uses Asian Handicap as the primary expression market for two specific reasons. First: Pinnacle's Asian Handicap...
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KKlaus replied to the thread Draw Markets - Why Is the Draw the Consistently Worst-Priced Outcome in Football?.The over-correction point Fade makes at halftime 0-0 is in my model. Matches where xG at halftime suggests the second half is likely to...
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KKlaus replied to the thread What the Spreadsheet Says vs What You Feel - Which Wins When They Disagree?.The override rate question is the correct question and I've tracked it specifically. Bundesliga model, fourteen seasons of data...
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KKlaus replied to the thread xG and Expected Goals - Is It Already Priced Into Markets or Is There Still Edge?.The meta-analysis point is valid but has limits. The public's bad xG application creates distortions in markets where the public...
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KKlaus replied to the thread The Bookmaker Margin - How Much Are You Actually Paying Per Bet?.The margin calculation is the first thing the Bundesliga model applies to any market before any other analysis. A market with a margin...
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KKlaus replied to the thread Referee and Card Markets - The Betting Category Where Anyone Could Have Edge.The corner market connection to xG analysis is worth noting. Attacking sequences that don't produce shots often produce corners. Teams...