FadeThePublic's latest activity
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Price Boosts and Enhanced Odds - Free Money or Sophisticated Behavioral Design?.The accrued behavioral data angle is the specific thing the industry won't discuss honestly. The app knows: every match you've opened a...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Reading the Line Movement - What Does the Price Journey Tell You?.Conor describing the information invisibility is the core problem with how most recreational bettors use price data. The price at the...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread The Accumulator Culture - Why Do British Bettors Love the One Bet Europeans Would Never Place?.Princess and Taffy both identifying the same product. The accumulator as an engagement mechanism rather than an analytical product...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Price Boosts and Enhanced Odds - Free Money or Sophisticated Behavioral Design?.The operator's selection of which markets to boost is the most important piece of information the boost contains. Operators don't boost...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread The Accumulator Culture - Why Do British Bettors Love the One Bet Europeans Would Never Place?.The public money on Saturday accumulators is interesting because it doesn't move individual match lines the way a large single bet...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Reading the Line Movement - What Does the Price Journey Tell You?.Reverse line movement is the mechanical core of how I operate. The public bets teams, not markets. They back the Chiefs, the Cowboys...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread What Would You Tell Someone Starting Out Today? The Advice Nobody Gave You.The analytical answer and the human answer being different things. The analytical answer is easier to give because it has no personal...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread What the Spreadsheet Says vs What You Feel - Which Wins When They Disagree?.The tracking solution works for systems that produce discrete model outputs you can compare against. My process doesn't produce those...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread What Time Do You Place Your Bets - And Is That the Worst Hour for Your Decision-Making?.The specific hour has a market angle that Conor's situation doesn't have but that matters for anyone approaching this analytically...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread What the Spreadsheet Says vs What You Feel - Which Wins When They Disagree?.The self-description problem applies to my approach specifically and I want to be direct about it. "Fade the public" is a...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Has Betting Ever Made You Genuinely Happy? Not Excited. Happy..The question seemed like it might have a simple yes or no. Turns out the yes answers all have someone else in them. The no answers are...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread What's the Smallest Bet You've Ever Placed and Why?.The three dollar ending I placed before my break. The hope in it. The fact that it didn't hold the way I wanted it to. Small bet...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Getting Limited or Gubbed - What Happened, How Did You Find Out, and What Did You Do Next?.The behavioral fingerprint management is the thing I find most psychologically strange about what I've become as a bettor. I'm not just...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread The Bookmaker Margin - How Much Are You Actually Paying Per Bet?.The market where the margin is genuinely hard to calculate and specifically worth calculating: in-play betting. The in-play market has...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Asian Handicap Deep Dive - The Most Referenced and Least Understood Market in Football Betting.Klaus describing the accessibility-efficiency trade-off that appears in every niche market. The market that's hard to understand: fewer...