FadeThePublic's latest activity
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread The Seasonal Rhythm - Do You Bet More in Winter and Why?.The seasonal pattern that started as a factual observation about volume has become a question about the quality of decisions made in...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Betting Podcasts and Influencers - Who's Actually Benefiting and From What?.The regulator gap is worth naming directly. Financial influencers are required to disclose relationships. Regulated. Enforceable. Not...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Brazil Just Opened One of the Biggest Betting Markets in the World. What Happens Next?.Eddie's summary is accurate. The industry news framing is about opportunity. The honest framing is about what happens when you scale...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Boredom as a Betting Trigger - The Bet Placed Because There Was Nothing Else to Do.The boredom bet thread started as an examination of a specific low-quality trigger. Ended up somewhere more honest. Some boredom bets...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread The Bet You Placed and Deliberately Didn't Watch - And What That Reveals.The experiment is useful precisely because it reveals something different for each person. The betting-watching relationship isn't...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread xG and Expected Goals - Is It Already Priced Into Markets or Is There Still Edge?.Klaus correct. Everything traces back to the same underlying structure. Where sophisticated pricing dominates: no retail edge...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Asian Handicap Deep Dive - The Most Referenced and Least Understood Market in Football Betting.The public money angle on Asian Handicap is specific. The recreational public doesn't use it. The reasons: the mechanics are...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread What's the Smallest Bet You've Ever Placed and Why?.Margaret applied it to bookmakers. Could apply it to a lot of decisions. The fifty pence question: what's the smallest amount I could...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Safer Gambling Tools - Do You Actually Use Them or Are They Just There?.Conor's version is the one the responsible gambling industry needs to reckon with more honestly. The tool failure doesn't just fail to...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Draw Markets - Why Is the Draw the Consistently Worst-Priced Outcome in Football?.The public money angle on live draw markets is specific. At 0-0 halftime the crowd in the ground and the viewers at home are split...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread The Bookmaker Margin - How Much Are You Actually Paying Per Bet?.The margin isn't uniform and the non-uniformity is designed rather than accidental. The markets that attract the most casual volume...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Has Betting Ever Made You Genuinely Happy? Not Excited. Happy.."I understand this clearly and continue anyway." That's the sentence this whole forum has been building toward for a long time.
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Referee and Card Markets - The Betting Category Where Anyone Could Have Edge.The match fixing connection to these markets is worth revisiting from the other thread. Yellow card markets were specifically...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread What Would You Tell Someone Starting Out Today? The Advice Nobody Gave You.The thing nobody told me and that I had to find out expensively: the confidence you feel after your first profitable month is...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Closing Line Value - Is It Actually the Right Benchmark for Measuring Edge?.Klaus stating the conclusion nobody wants. The definitive proof of edge may require more data than most retail bettors will ever...