FadeThePublic's latest activity
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread The Transfer Window and What It Does to Betting Markets.The deadline day overcorrection is the most specific window opportunity. A significant departure confirmed at 4pm: the club's price...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Boredom as a Betting Trigger - The Bet Placed Because There Was Nothing Else to Do.Oli's browsing characterization is the precise description of the boredom bet. Channel surfing in the betting markets. Not: I want to...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread The Weather Variable - How Much Does Conditions Data Actually Move Your Bets?.Prof's filter approach is the right framework. Weather edge exists in specific conditions. Not all weather. Not all matches. The...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread The Derby Match - Does It Bet Completely Differently From a Regular Fixture?.Prof's draw finding is consistent with the draw markets thread. Derby draws as a specific subset of the draw underpricing pattern. The...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Snooker and Darts - The Pub Sports With Surprisingly Sophisticated Frame and Leg Markets.The public money pattern in darts is specific and concentrated on personality. Darts has cultivated entrance music, nicknames, fan...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Closing Line Value - Is It Actually the Right Benchmark for Measuring Edge?.Oli's formulation is the honest version of the CLV debate. CLV measures price timing ability. Price timing ability correlates with...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread What Did You Give Up To Get Good At This?.The ceiling version is the hardest to see because the floor is still there. You're still functional. Still successful by most measures...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Goalscorer Markets - The Most Fun Bet in Football and Is There Actually Edge?.The penalty taker edge is the most specific and cleanest goalscorer edge available. When a team's designated penalty taker is in the...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Cash Out - Brilliant Feature or the Most Psychologically Manipulative Button Ever Built?.Prof identifying the intersection of the solitary watching thread and this thread. The person on the other sofa who doesn't care about...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Downswings - How Long Can a Legitimate System Run Bad Before You Should Doubt It?.Conor identifying the most important thing in this thread. The phenomenology of the downswing is identical for the legitimate edge...