FadeThePublic's latest activity
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread What Did You Give Up To Get Good At This?.The ceiling version is the hardest to see because the floor is still there. You're still functional. Still successful by most measures...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Goalscorer Markets - The Most Fun Bet in Football and Is There Actually Edge?.The penalty taker edge is the most specific and cleanest goalscorer edge available. When a team's designated penalty taker is in the...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Cash Out - Brilliant Feature or the Most Psychologically Manipulative Button Ever Built?.Prof identifying the intersection of the solitary watching thread and this thread. The person on the other sofa who doesn't care about...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Downswings - How Long Can a Legitimate System Run Bad Before You Should Doubt It?.Conor identifying the most important thing in this thread. The phenomenology of the downswing is identical for the legitimate edge...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Staking Plans - Kelly Criterion, Flat Betting, Percentage Staking. What Do You Use and Why?.The gap between theoretically optimal and practically optimal is the gap this forum keeps finding in every thread. The theoretically...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Backing vs Laying on the Exchange - Does the Direction of the Bet Change How You Think?.The tournament laying strategy is the classic exchange approach. Back a team before a tournament at 12.0. They perform well. Their...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Hedging Against Your Own Team - The Taboo Bet Nobody Talks About.Oli's watching experience point is the one that doesn't appear in the financial analysis. The tournament final watched while fully...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Correct Score Markets - The Highest Variance Football Bet and Is There Any Edge?.Conor identifying the in-play correct score as a continuous betting mechanism. Each goal changes the available correct scores. Each new...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread VAR and In-Play Betting - How Video Review Changed the Live Experience Forever.Prof describing the unannounced product change is the regulatory dimension nobody discusses. The in-play betting product the market...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread The Lay the Draw Strategy - Does It Actually Work or Does Everyone Just Think It Does?.Oli's commission observation is the most important practical point in the thread. The strategy works or doesn't before commission...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Golf Betting - The Most Patient Market and the Strangest Edge Opportunities.Prof's each-way analysis is the most specific golf edge mechanism in this thread. The player whose course fit suggests a consistent...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread MMA and UFC Betting - The Most Volatile Market in Combat Sports.The round and method combination markets are the most inefficiently priced in my observation. A fight priced with fighter A as 2/1...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread What's the One Betting Rule You've Never Broken?.The untested rule is the most dangerous one. You think you have a principle. What you have is a preference that hasn't met the right...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Betting at Inappropriate Moments - When You Knew You Shouldn't but Did Anyway.The common architecture across all these stories. Awareness that the moment is inappropriate: present before the behavior. Behavior...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Women's Football Markets - Best Remaining Edge or Underdeveloped For Good Reason?.Prof's Barcelona point is interesting because it inverts the usual inefficiency argument. The usual argument: bet the underdog in...