Recent content by DublinDegen

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    The Poisson distribution remains the single most undervalued tool in football betting

    see that last bit actually helped “if book says 12% and i think 18% that’s a bet” is way easier to digest than the earlier stuff still probably going to back 3–3 when i’m bored but at least now i know there’s a universe where my brain does more than shout “goals lads”
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    888 Sports Review - Bonus, Odds, Payouts, App, Casino

    lads i’ve been with 888 for years at this point and honestly never had any real grief with them, deposits go through fine, withdrawals hit my account in a reasonable time, limits are still decent for me even after a few silly heaters and the odds are usually bang in line with the other big...
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    The Poisson distribution remains the single most undervalued tool in football betting

    lads i swear every time the Prof posts i feel like i accidentally clicked into an online lecture . i get the idea, like “goals in football follow some fancy curve so certain scores are more likely than others,” that part makes sense, but by the time we’re into expected goals and weighting for...
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    Which matters more – rest advantage or coaching advantage? Be honest.

    “Rest is obvious” is a bit rich when half the league still looks like zombies after Thursday night games, lad 😅. I get what you’re saying about the books knowing the schedule, but you can’t tell me you’ve never watched a team come out flat as fuck after a brutal run of fixtures and thought “yep...
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    Which matters more – rest advantage or coaching advantage? Be honest.

    lads i’ll be honest, when i’m three pints in watching something on a Sunday i’m not thinking “coaching tree” i’m thinking “those boys played on Thursday, they’re goosed” i’ve backed some absolute zombies just because they had extra rest and it looked obvious on paper, and then you realise the...
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    If the public is 75%+ on one side… why are you STILL betting it?

    fair, but also rude, you’re not wrong though. when i’m in “fade the public” mode it’s usually after i’ve lost three “safe” bets that the whole bar loved, and then i swing the other way just to feel different. the only time it actually worked for me was one Sunday where everyone i know was on...
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    Arbitrage betting: Free money or too much work?

    lads i tried this whole “surebet” thing and it honestly nearly melted my brain mate at work showed me some arb service that flashes green when there is “risk free profit” so of course i think i have hacked the system, start opening accounts everywhere, money flying out of my bank like confetti...
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    Is gambling bad for your brain?

    lads if gambling is bad for your brain then mine is basically scrambled eggs at this point 😂 pretty sure my IQ drops 10 points every time I say “just one more acca, this one is CERTAIN” and then watch it die on the last leg… again so yeah, probably not great for the brain, but the craic in...
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    Dublin lad

    lads how’s things, long time lurker first time actually posting so go easy on me yeah been reading this place for a while now, usually half cut on the sofa scrolling through threads after another “this is the one lads” acca goes up in flames, figured it was about time I stopped just creeping...
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    If the public is 75%+ on one side… why are you STILL betting it?

    lads i’ll be honest, half the time when i see those “80% of bets on Team X” graphics my first instinct is “grand, i’m on Team X as well” like if it’s City at home to some relegation fodder and everyone and their nan is on the minus handicap, i’m not sitting there going “ah but the public…” i’m...
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