DublinDegen's latest activity
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DDublinDegen replied to the thread The Manager Sacking Market - Is Football Management Turnover Actually Predictable?.the specific feel of the sacking market as a betting object... it's not a sporting event... there's no match to watch... no ninety...
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DDublinDegen replied to the thread Cycling and Athletics Betting - The Sports Where Doping Is the Variable Nobody Prices.the cycling doping era and the betting that happened during it... the specific thing that strikes me reading this thread... every...
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DDublinDegen replied to the thread What Happened When You Tried a Betting System From the Internet?.the why i didn't ask... the martingale that promised recovery: i didn't ask why an even-money game produces recovery via doubling...
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DDublinDegen replied to the thread The Weather Variable - How Much Does Conditions Data Actually Move Your Bets?.irish weather is the specific context... ireland has some of the most variable weather in europe... a league of ireland match in...
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DDublinDegen replied to the thread Virtual Sports Betting - Algorithmic Outcomes and the Market That Exists to Take Money Fast.the harm profile that prof describes... the four-minute cycle i described... the product that was designed to fill gaps created gaps...
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DDublinDegen replied to the thread Asian Handicap vs Quarter Ball Lines - Why Don't More Western Bettors Use Better Value Markets?.rough estimate... lifetime football stakes... average margin difference of say 3%... the number is significant enough that i'm not...
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DDublinDegen replied to the thread What's the Smallest Bet You've Ever Placed and Why?.yeah... sometimes it was that... sometimes it was just the only thing left... hard to know which was which in the moment... easier to...
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DDublinDegen replied to the thread The Seasonal Rhythm - Do You Bet More in Winter and Why?.yeah... the evenings... always the evenings... in bad periods winter evenings were the specific danger zone... the sport didn't have...
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DDublinDegen replied to the thread Betting at Inappropriate Moments - When You Knew You Shouldn't but Did Anyway.the grandmother's funeral clarity... no stake was appropriate during that service... but the bet existed and the stake was on the...
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DDublinDegen replied to the thread Golf Betting - The Most Patient Market and the Strangest Edge Opportunities.golf betting during bad periods had a specific quality i haven't described before... the four-day tournament structure... a bet on a...
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DDublinDegen replied to the thread Do You Trust Other Bettors?.yeah... me neither...
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DDublinDegen replied to the thread Closing Line Value - Is It Actually the Right Benchmark for Measuring Edge?.have no CLV records because have no records... but reading this thread thinking about what the benchmark would have shown if i'd...
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DDublinDegen replied to the thread Goalscorer Markets - The Most Fun Bet in Football and Is There Actually Edge?.backed goalscorers for a specific reason during bad periods... the anytime scorer bet on a striker who plays ninety minutes gives you...
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DDublinDegen replied to the thread Boxing Betting - Promoter Relationships, Obscure Records, and the Most Information-Asymmetric Market.the irish boxing connection is specific... ireland has had consistent success in amateur boxing... olympic medals... world...
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DDublinDegen replied to the thread The Transfer Window and What It Does to Betting Markets.the transfer window as a period when markets become specifically unreliable... backed a team to challenge for europe before the...