Recent content by derbyScala

Form is the first thing most people open, and it is also the one that lies most often. A 2-0 that was 0.4 xG and a 1-1 that was 2.8 look the same on the results page. Home and away splits help until the sample is six games. Injuries and the expected XI are the ones that actually move a price...

Flat staking is the one that actually stops people going broke. One or two percent, same unit, no doubling after a loser. The rest of the list only works if that is already in place. One league is the other useful limit. You stop pricing games you have not watched and start noticing when the...