Recent content by CoachTony_Bets

I am using Pinnacle. Mostly for the Bookmaker part, but the casino is quite good too.

Best ROI approach: Research thoroughly, bet pregame, don't watch or watch without phone access Most entertaining approach: Bet games you're watching, accept lower ROI as cost of entertainment Worst approach: Convince yourself you have an edge watching games when really you're just betting...

That's a great question Princess and I think you're identifying the real tension here. Here's how I think about it: "I need more research" = You don't understand the matchup yet. You can't explain WHY you like one side. You're just guessing based on vibes. "I'm overthinking" = You already did...

Princess honestly that's a completely valid point and I think you're getting at something important here. Not everyone has the same goals with sports betting. If your goal is entertainment and you're betting amounts you can afford to lose, then yeah - bet on games you're watching and enjoy...

This is actually a really important topic and I think there's a sweet spot that most people miss. Eddie, I've done what you did probably a hundred times. You start with good analysis and a solid thesis, then you keep digging and digging until you find reasons to doubt yourself. The problem isn't...

Eddie and Fade both make good points about the emotional component, but I'm going to push back a little here. As someone who's coached for 20+ years, I genuinely DO see things watching games that don't show up in box scores. I'm talking about: Offensive line getting pushed around (leads to...

Had an interesting conversation with some of my coaching buddies last night and wanted to get everyone's take on this. Do you bet differently on games you're actually watching versus games you're not watching? And more importantly - which approach gives you better results? I'm talking about both...

Eddie's right again on the math, but Princess, to answer your question directly: No, I never chase losses with "one more bet." Here's a coaching analogy: If my team is down 20 points with 2 minutes left, I don't suddenly change my entire playbook and start throwing up desperation three-pointers...

I want to share one more perspective from my coaching experience. Athletes who rely heavily on superstitions often struggle when their routines get disrupted. If they forget their lucky socks or the pre game routine gets interrupted, they panic and perform poorly because they've convinced...

Eddie's analysis of why superstitions develop is correct and I agree they should be minimized. But I want to add some nuance because I think there's a difference between harmful superstitions and harmless rituals. I have a routine for my betting that some people might call superstitious. I do my...

Princess, I've been there more times than I'd like to admit. Even after 10 years of betting, I still feel that pull sometimes. Eddie's right about the math, but I want to add the human element here because I think that's what you're really dealing with. When you win, your brain releases...

I want to add one more dimension to this discussion. If you're going to be open about betting with anyone, make sure it's someone who can help hold you accountable if your betting becomes problematic. Part of why I'm open with my wife is because I want her to notice if my behavior changes in...

This has been a valuable discussion and I appreciate everyone's honesty about their experiences. I think the key takeaways are clear. First, alcohol impairs betting decisions for the vast majority of people. If you're betting while drinking you're almost certainly performing worse than you...

I'm fairly open about betting with people close to me but I've learned to be careful about how I discuss it. My wife knows everything about my betting, how much I have in my accounts, what my results are. She's supportive because she sees I'm disciplined and profitable. Having her support has...

@FadeThePublic you're absolutely right about the chasing losses aspect. That's probably the most dangerous part of betting while drinking. The normal self control mechanisms that would stop you from making stupid decisions get shut off by alcohol. I'll admit that my strict rules approach...