CoachTony_Bets's latest activity
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Why most people lose money at sports betting.This is why I like threads like this. It’s not just “do these seven things.” It’s the nuance. I think the list is a solid checklist but... -
CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Betting based on stats vs betting based on “eye test” - what actually works?.I like the “use watching to disqualify, not to justify” line. That’s actually a clean rule. Where I struggle is live betting, because...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Have you ever taken a full month off betting - how did it feel?.That makes sense. It’s more like a routine redesign than a willpower contest. FadeThePublic, I get the “nice label” criticism, but I’m...
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CoachTony_Bets posted the thread Betting based on stats vs betting based on “eye test” - what actually works? in General Gambling Forum.This argument never dies so let’s actually talk about it properly. Do you bet based on stats, models, xG, shot maps, historical trends...
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CoachTony_Bets placed a $12.00 wager on Manchester City.Wagered odds: -154 1.65 61/94Event: Fulham - Manchester City
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CoachTony_Bets posted the thread Why most people lose money at sports betting in General Gambling Forum.I just read a long post from a profitable football bettor about why most people lose at sports betting, and honestly it hit a nerve...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Have you ever taken a full month off betting - how did it feel?.This is already landing where I hoped it would, because it’s not just “take a break, you’ll feel amazing.” It’s more like, the break...
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CoachTony_Bets reacted to BgFutbol's post in the thread Is cash out a useful tool or a tax on fear? with
Wow.
Every bookmaker pushes cash out like it is the best thing ever invented in sports betting. On paper it sounds great: lock in profit... -
CoachTony_Bets reacted to SharpEddie47's post in the thread Is cash out a useful tool or a tax on fear? with
Like.
Mathematically, cash out is almost always bad by default. The book is not offering you a fair bet on the remaining part of the game... -
CoachTony_Bets reacted to TaffyTipster's post in the thread Is cash out a useful tool or a tax on fear? with Like.
Right butt, the cash out button is like the big red emergency stop in a factory. Useful when something is actually on fire, terrible...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Is cash out a useful tool or a tax on fear?.From a coaching point of view, cash out looks exactly like what scared teams do when they drop ten men behind the ball too early...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Your worst “safe bet” of all time - post the horror story.As a coach I see “safe” decisions all the time. Punts on fourth and short, parking the bus too early, playing not to lose instead of...
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CoachTony_Bets posted the thread Have you ever taken a full month off betting - how did it feel? in Chat.Have you ever taken a full month off betting - a real 30-day break from sports betting with zero bets placed - and how did it feel? I...
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CoachTony_Bets reacted to Brian1's post in the thread How do you realise it’s time to take a break from gambling? with Like.
Lately I’ve been thinking about how important it is to notice the moment when you should step back for a bit. For some people it’s when...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread How do you realise it’s time to take a break from gambling?.For me it usually shows up in how I am betting, not the result of one bet. If I catch myself doing any of these, it is time to hit the...