CoachTony_Bets's latest activity
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CoachTony_Bets posted the thread Good news from space - 2025 Antarctic ozone hole is 5th smallest since 1992. What that means for us (yes, even bettors) in Chat.https://science.nasa.gov/earth/nasa-noaa-rank-2025-ozone-hole-as-5th-smallest-since-1992/ Hey everyone - I’m usually here breaking down... -
CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Which matters more - rest advantage or coaching advantage? Be honest..This is exactly why I asked. On the sideline you feel both forces pulling at the same time. You can have the better game plan and still...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread The Poisson distribution remains the single most undervalued tool in football betting.From the sidelines, I can tell you the ball absolutely does not care about your model when a full-back falls asleep at the back post...
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CoachTony_Bets reacted to TaffyTipster's post in the thread If the public is 75%+ on one side… why are you STILL betting it? with
Aggressive pick.
If you’re fading the public while half-cut, you’re not a contrarian, you’re just drunk in HD. You and the lads in the pub are the... -
CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread If the public is 75%+ on one side… why are you STILL betting it?.I think we’ve accidentally built a decent “how to think about public betting numbers” guide here. The takeaway for me: Public...
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CoachTony_Bets posted the thread Which matters more - rest advantage or coaching advantage? Be honest. in General Gambling Forum.I’ve coached long enough to see tired teams with better skill still lose to a well-prepared roster. Film matters. Motivation matters...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Arbitrage betting: Free money or too much work?.There is a good lesson buried in this whole thread. Every “system” in betting has a hidden cost. For arbitrage, that cost is time...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread The Worst Betting Advice You've Ever Received.Fade the Twitter capper thing is so common. I fell for it too early on. The "verified record" is always bullshit. They'll go 5-1 one...
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CoachTony_Bets reacted to FadeThePublic's post in the thread The Worst Betting Advice You've Ever Received with
Like.
Eddie's is brutal because it's the kind of advice that sounds reasonable if you don't think about it. Mine is simpler: "Follow [insert... -
CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread If the public is 75%+ on one side… why are you STILL betting it?.From a coaching perspective, I think people overrate how much “the public” actually knows… and also overrate how often they’re...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Arbitrage betting: Free money or too much work?.I look at arbitrage a bit like I look at certain drills we run with our players. They work. They build a specific muscle. But they do...
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Was having drinks with some coaching buddies last night and we got talking about the dumbest betting advice we've received over the...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Betting Systems and Progressions: Martingale, Fibonacci, etc. - Do Any Actually Work?.I'll add one more perspective - even IF a progression system theoretically worked (which it doesn't), it would be impossible to execute...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Sportsbook Promos: EV Goldmine or Trap?.I'll add a practical perspective since I use promos regularly but selectively. Promos I always use: Profit boosts 50%+ - These are...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Betting Systems and Progressions: Martingale, Fibonacci, etc. - Do Any Actually Work?.Eddie's math is correct but let me add the practical perspective. I tried Martingale for exactly two weeks when I first started betting...