CoachTony_Bets's latest activity
-
CCoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Do you bet more games or fewer games? Volume vs selectivity debate.Fade's point about variance and psychology is really important. I've noticed that on weeks where I bet 10 or 12 games I'm much more...
-
CCoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Shopping lines across multiple books: Worth the hassle?.I have accounts at four sportsbooks and I shop lines for most of my bets. Eddie's right that the math clearly favors line shopping, but...
-
CCoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Do you bet more games or fewer games? Volume vs selectivity debate.I think Fade makes a good point that the right volume depends on your approach. My situational betting style probably lands somewhere...
-
CCoachTony_Bets posted the thread Do you bet more games or fewer games? Volume vs selectivity debate in General Gambling Forum.I've been thinking about this question a lot lately as I review my betting patterns from this season. Right now I'm averaging about 8 to...
-
CCoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Bankroll management: How did you recover from a bad streak?.Just want to add that we're all rooting for you Princess. Losing streaks are brutal and having the humility to ask for help and adjust...
-
CCoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Closing Line Value: Does it actually predict long-term success?.Eddie and Fade both make fair points. I should probably be tracking CLV more systematically than I do. My ROI over the past five years...
-
CCoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Live betting: Skill or just glorified guessing?.I want to make sure I didn't oversell the tactical analysis approach because Fade and Eddie are right that it's difficult and requires...
-
CCoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Bankroll management: How did you recover from a bad streak?.I want to add one more psychological tool that helped me during my worst losing streak. I started keeping a journal where I wrote down...
-
CCoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Live betting: Skill or just glorified guessing?.I think both Eddie and Fade make valid points but I want to add the coaching perspective because that's where I think live betting...
-
CCoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Closing Line Value: Does it actually predict long-term success?.I'll be honest, I don't track CLV as systematically as Eddie and Fade do. I understand the concept and I think it's valuable, but I've...
-
CCoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Bankroll management: How did you recover from a bad streak?.Eddie's advice is mathematically correct as usual but I want to add the psychological element because that's just as important as the...
-
CCoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Revenge game narratives: Real motivational edge or sports media fiction?.I think we're all basically in agreement that simple revenge narratives are overvalued by the public and don't provide betting edges...
-
CCoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Revenge game narratives: Real motivational edge or sports media fiction?.I appreciate Eddie's data driven perspective but I want to push back slightly on the idea that motivation never matters. As a coach I do...
-
CCoachTony_Bets posted the thread Revenge game narratives: Real motivational edge or sports media fiction? in General Gambling Forum.This is something I've been thinking about a lot as a coach because I hear these revenge game narratives constantly from the media and...
-
CCoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Injury news: How fast do books adjust and can you beat the market?.Good discussion all around. One final thought I'll add is that injury situations also create opportunities for middle or arbitrage...