CoachTony_Bets's latest activity
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CCoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Injury news: How fast do books adjust and can you beat the market?.@FadeThePublic makes a great point about public overreaction being potentially more profitable than trying to beat the market on speed...
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CCoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Injury news: How fast do books adjust and can you beat the market?.Eddie's breakdown is spot on and I want to expand on the point about understanding injury impact better than the market because this is...
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CCoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Weather impacts on totals: Overrated by the public?.I think we've covered this topic pretty thoroughly. The consensus seems to be that weather matters less than the public thinks it does...
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CCoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Weather impacts on totals: Overrated by the public?.I want to add some context from a coaching perspective because I think the way weather impacts the game is more nuanced than just...
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CCoachTony_Bets posted the thread Weather impacts on totals: Overrated by the public? in General Gambling Forum.I've been thinking about this a lot lately as we head into the colder part of the NFL season. Every year I see the same pattern where...
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CCoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Reverse Line Movement: Real sharp indicator or confirmation bias?.This ended up being a really good discussion. I think we covered all the important angles on reverse line movement and hopefully people...
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CCoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Reverse Line Movement: Real sharp indicator or confirmation bias?.I think we're actually all closer to agreement than it might seem. Fade's approach of using RLM as a primary signal but also checking...
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CCoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Reverse Line Movement: Real sharp indicator or confirmation bias?.I think there's probably something real about reverse line movement but Eddie's right that it's more complicated than just following an...
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CCoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Tailing 'cappers' on social media: Smart or lazy?.I think we've thoroughly answered the question in the thread title. Tailing cappers is lazy and it's also not smart. It might work...
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CCoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Tailing 'cappers' on social media: Smart or lazy?.I think there's a middle ground here that's worth discussing. While I agree with Eddie and Fade that blindly tailing cappers is a bad...
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CCoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Is sports betting actually beatable long-term or are we all just gambling?.Princess I think you need to decide what you actually want from sports betting. If you want entertainment then accept that it costs...
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CCoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Is sports betting actually beatable long-term or are we all just gambling?.I think the answer depends on what your goals are and how you define beatable. If you mean can you make a full time living from sports...
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CCoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Player Props vs Game Totals: Which offers more value.I think we're all basically converging on the same conclusion here. Both props and totals can be profitable but they require different...
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CCoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Player Props vs Game Totals: Which offers more value.I actually think both can be valuable depending on what type of analysis you're doing and where your strengths are. For me personally I...
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CCoachTony_Bets replied to the thread How did you start betting and gambling.I got into betting in kind of a roundabout way actually. When I was playing college football back in the late 90s we obviously weren't...