CoachTony_Bets's latest activity
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread What Do You Miss About Being a Fan Who Didn't Bet? The Before-Version of Watching Sport.My before-version is the most complicated to describe because I've always approached sport with an analytical overlay. Even before... -
CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread The Promoted and Relegated Club - Market Inefficiency at the Boundary Between Divisions?.The specific coaching insight that I think this market underweights more than any other variable. The promoted club that has retained...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread The First Time You Felt Like a Gambler Rather Than a Bettor - Is There Even a Difference?.The decision preceding the selection versus the selection producing the decision. In coaching: the call that was made before the down...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Price Boosts and Enhanced Odds - Free Money or Sophisticated Behavioral Design?.The impression management framing. The operator who offers genuine value on 12% of boosts at capped stakes: they can truthfully...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread The Promoted and Relegated Club - Market Inefficiency at the Boundary Between Divisions?.The coaching adjustment required from second tier to first tier is more significant than the end-of-season table positions suggest. A...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Expected Points and Advanced NFL Metrics - Are They Already Priced In?.The shortening absorption window is the coaching film analogy in reverse. When I was a young coach: finding a new scheme that opponents...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread The First Time You Felt Like a Gambler Rather Than a Bettor - Is There Even a Difference?.Princess identifying something important by describing what it feels like to not have clearly occupied either category. The...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread The Accumulator Culture - Why Do British Bettors Love the One Bet Europeans Would Never Place?.Taffy's "the analysis was correct and the result was wrong" is the accumulator bettor's specific coping statement. The analysis and the...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Reading the Line Movement - What Does the Price Journey Tell You?.Fade's framing is the coaching one I'd use. The scoreboard shows where things are. The film shows how they got there. Most...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Expected Points and Advanced NFL Metrics - Are They Already Priced In?.The coaching film analysis question is the one this thread is really asking for people like me. EPA is a useful summary metric. It...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Reading the Line Movement - What Does the Price Journey Tell You?.The line that barely moves across the entire week is worth discussing separately. A line that opens and closes within a very tight...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Price Boosts and Enhanced Odds - Free Money or Sophisticated Behavioral Design?.The environmental design angle is the coaching one that applies most directly here. Game planning: I structure the practice environment...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread The Accumulator Culture - Why Do British Bettors Love the One Bet Europeans Would Never Place?.The engagement mechanism framing is the coaching one. When I design practice: I'm designing engagement. The drill that makes every...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread Reading the Line Movement - What Does the Price Journey Tell You?.The coaching equivalent of reading line movement is studying game film from multiple perspectives rather than just your own. I watch...
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CoachTony_Bets replied to the thread What Time Do You Place Your Bets - And Is That the Worst Hour for Your Decision-Making?.The 1am window for Conor and the midnight eleven for Eddie and the Saturday night post-Bronwyn bets for Taffy. Different hours...