Corners Picks

[CristRo7]

On Wednesday Napoli will be host to Hellas Verona in 1/8 Round of the Coppa Italia. As for now Napoli places 3rd place in Serie A, and Verona is the last with no wins in Serie A matches this season.

Napoli failed to beat Roma in last home match, but nevertheless the team come into this match red hot. Neapolitans are used to control the game on the opposite half of field, they make many crosses to opposite penalty area, especially from the left side. Napoli also is strong in heading duels, often creates scoring chances and effectively uses individual skills of their key players.

The last place in the league forces Verona coach to think first of all of that how not to leave Serie A. As the official site of the team informs, the emphasis in match in Naples will be done on young players who aren't so actively involved in league matches. New coach of Verona Luigi Delneri doesn't want to use in a cup match all key players and allows them to have a rest before game in Serie A which is now undoubtedly more important, than Coppa.

As for now bookmaker 1xbet.com gives -2.5 corners handicap for Napoli with 1.72 odd. If to look on the stats, Napoli in the last three head-to-head matches against Verona won by corners. In Serie A matches at home Neapolitans couldn't deliver more corners, than opponent, only in matches with the leaders: Inter, Fiorentina and Juventus. And even there they conceded no more than one corner kick. On the other side Verona won by corners in away matches only against the same outsiders as it is: Carpi and Sampdoria. And let's look at the similar matches of Napoli (where odds on Napoli win were approximately same as now), they won in the last 13 such games by corners. And -2.5 corners handicap was beaten 12 times of 13.

Thus, I think that we will see total domination of home team in Napoli-Verona match. Therefore I expect from Neapolitans active game in attack and as the result huge quantity of corners.

http://corner-stats.com/napoli-verona-16-12-2015/coppa-italia-italy/match/70856 is the site i use for corners in this match

 

[CristRo7]

On Wednesday Napoli will be host to Hellas Verona in 1/8 Round of the Coppa Italia.

Scores on corners 7-3 in favor of Napoli. I congratulate all who bets in this handicap. Well and for the weekend, likely, will be other analysis.

 

[CristRo7]

Interesting match between Athletic Bilbao and Levante is coming in Spain La Liga on Sunday 20th December 2015. Athletic Bilbao results in last games are not very good but the team is very impressive at home where lost only to Real and Barcelona. Athletic is used to play in attacking style and make many crosses into opponent penalty area. Levante has problems with goals scoring this season though it creates quite enough goal chances every game.

We paid our attention to the pick of total corners over 10 in this match with 2.01 odd at 188Bet.com. The stats of teams corners says that average individual corners total at home of Athletic Bilbao is 7.00 (including match with Barcelona) and average corners total in Athletic home matches in La Liga this season is 11.29
It is supposed the teams will play attacking football with high speeds on Sunday and many goals and corners should take place.

http://corner-stats.com/athletic-bilbao-levante-20-12-2015/primera-division-spain/match/71158 is the site i use for corner in this match

 

[CristRo7]

Interesting match between Athletic Bilbao and Levante

Scores on corners 10-3 in favor of Athletic. I congratulate all who bets in this total.

 

[CristRo7]

AC Milan hosts Bologna in the first match of 2016 year in Serie A. Rossoneri are on the 6th place in Serie A table and struggle for Champions League zone, so today they have to obtain 3 points.

Describing the style of play of Milan, worth to say that the team creates many scoring chances and hardly leaves the field without a goal scored in the last matches. Rossoneri players make a lot of shots on goal, trying to control the ball in the opponent's half of the field. Milan involves two wings while attacking but especially I want to admit Bonaventure on the left.

On opposite Bologna as team from the bottom of the table is trying to build their game of defense. Most of all Bologna's attacks happen because of individual skills of its players.

As you could already guess my today's prediction is for Milan. Suppose Ac Milan win today but I think the bet of Milan corners handicap is more sure. You can take -2.5 corners handicap bet for equal odds at many bookmakers, for example Bet365.

Starting from 2011 Milan delivered more corners than Bologna in all their head-to-head matches. And always -2.5 handicap of corners was beaten by Milan. Lets look at some corners stats of the teams. Milan delivers 6.5 corners on average this season at home and lost just once by corners. Bologna lost 5 of 8 with more than 2 corners in away matches this season.

And finally there is very interesting stats of Milan's corners in matches with similar to Bologna opponents. You can look it here http://corner-stats.com/ac-milan-bologna-06-01-2016/serie-a-italy/match/71657 . Milan won 17 of 20 these last matches (where its opponents were approximately the same class like Bologna).

 

[CristRo7]

AC Milan hosts Bologna

The score on corner kicks 10-0. I congratulate all who bet on Milan corners handicap

 

[CristRo7]

Interesting match between 2 outsiders of English Premier League Swansea and Sunderland is coming today. Swansea is now going 17th with 4 points ahead of Sunderland. The teams simultaneously flew from the FA Cup on this weekend so now their main goal for the season is to avoid relegation.

Lets look at the corners picks of this match and analyze corners stats of teams. First of all we must admit strong correlation between play of teams and their corners stats. Swansea and Sunderland are among the less delivering corners teams of EPL (just 3.55 corners on average for Swansea and 3.75 corners on average for Sunderland).

Therefore bookmakers set not so high total of corners for this match - just 9.5. But nevertheless odds for under 9.5 total corners seems to be interesting. Only in 2 matches of 9 of head-to-head games teams delivered more than 9 corners.

Swansea home matches corners stats and Sunderland away mathes corners stats confirm our suggestion that there won't be many corners today. Total corners for Swansea home matches is 8.1 on average and the team didn't won any time by corners at home this season. Average total corners in Sunderland away matches is even less than Swansea (only 7.6 per game) and what is more important - just 2.5 corners per game for Sunderland. Sunderland couldn't deliver more than 2 corners in last 5 matches at away.

So our pick is under 9.5 total corners with 1.88 odds at bet365. Stats data for this preview was taken from http://corner-stats.com/swansea-sunderland-13-01-2016/premier-league-england/match/71969 . Good luck!

 

[CristRo7]

Swansea and Sunderland

Scores on corners 8-6. Pick lose.

 

[CristRo7]

Fiorentina will face Torino in 21st round of Serie A.
We consider pick on Fiorentina corners quit interesting today because of some reasons:
- Fiorentina lost 2 important last games and will be high motivated in match against Torino.
- Usually Viola controls play of game and has huge possession advantage on opponent.
- Home team is one of the Serie A leaders of delivering corners and won by corners 9 of 10 games at home this season.
- Torino lost 4 last away matches by corners in Serie A. It seems the team plays now more in defense unlike the start of season.
So corners handicap -2 for home team with 1.85 odds at Bet365 looks very attractive. Good luck!
Corners stats for this match was taken from http://corner-stats.com/fiorentina-torino-24-01-2016/serie-a-italy/match/72725

 

[CristRo7]

Fiorentina will face Torino in 21st round of Serie A.

The score on corner kicks 3-8.

 

[CristRo7]

Sevilla – Las Palmas

Sevilla will host one of outsiders Las Palmas in 24th game week of Spanish Primera division. Antalusia team failed in the beginning of the season but then become to play better.
Sevilla must gain 8 points to be on the 4th place in the league and these are quite possible to acvieve. Las Palmas takes much less attractive 18th place but the team hope to stay in Primera at the end of season. The bottom of the league table is very close and only one win let take higher place. Consequently, Las Palmas will play at full strength in every match to gain more points.
Antalusians are dominant at home because they won 12 matches in a row on own field including games against Real Madrid and Juventus. Las Palmas isn’t such successful team as Sevilla and Antalusians shouldn’t face with big problems in upcoming match. If characterize Sevilla’s style of play should be admited that attacking football of the team is really powerful: Sevilla prefers to attack on wings and creates lots of chances. Players make many shots and make crosses into penalty area. Headers are strong pros of Antalusians. Considering presence in the Sevilla’s squad really good player like Konoplyanka is expected that Las Palmas’s defenders may be passed quite often. Consequently, serves on wings are very dangerous.

Las Palmas try to play positioning football controlling the ball on own part of the pitch. Short serves and distant shots are part of Las Palmas playing style. For team is too hard to oppose teams what play actively on wings and in which squads are individually strong players, more powerful than Las Palmas’s defenders.

Let’s look at upcoming match according to bets on corners. I offer to look at bet on total over corners in this game. Total over 9,5 is for 1,73 odds at bet365.

Players on avarage take 11,58 corner in Sevilla’s home matches. It is the best result among all teams of Primera. Hosts take on average 6,83 corners, almost 7. Total over 9,5 corners was covered in 11 of 12 home games of Antalusians. Las Palmas takes 4,82 corners, almost 5 during the game at away. Players of Las Palmas took 4 or more corners in last 6 games. Las Palmas played against Rayo, Levante, Atletico, Espanyol. Sporting and Valencia. These football clubs (exept Espanyol) let their opponents take as much corners during the game as Sevilla. Besides, Las Palmas’s total corners was over 9,5 4 times of last 5 games at away.

To sum up, we can see that the match for both sides is difficult: Sevilla will try to approach to Champions League, Las Palmas will try to take higher place of the league table. The game is going to be with many chances because both teams need points. And if consider teams’ corners stats, bet on total over 9,5 corners for 1,73 odds at Bet363 is very attractive.

 

[CristRo7]

Sevilla – Las Palmas

The score on corner kicks 8-3. Pick win.

 

[CristRo7]

Roma – Real Madrid

Finally, Champions League comes back from winter holiday and first matches of 1/8 round will be played this week. One of the most ambitious football teams-encounters are Roma – Real Madrid. Both capital football clubs have changed coaches during the season and it effects well. But only one team will play in 1/4 round and one of the coaches will confess in the failure. First match of this competition must be hot. And we will try to analyze it and find interesting bet.

Madrid is a leader in this couple and will try to do its best in first match. Royal football club have changed coach and Zinedine Zidane does not give reason to doubt the correctness of his invitation Away match in Rome will be first serious revision for new coach. Pepe and Gareth Bale won’t play in the upcomingmatch but the team has good players. Such great players as Cristiano Ronaldo, Karim Benzema, James Rodriguez will play attacking football and they can cause trouble to the defenders of the opponent. Real Madrid makes a lot of shots on goal rivals, which is the result of the well-prepared attacking play and personal skills of their forwards. Madrid players control the ball in the opponent pinch side and it will be interesting to watch this match. Madrid often create good chances and score goals using short passes to break the encounter’s defense.

Italian club got a set of 4 wins one by one after comeback on coach’s bench Luciano Spalletti and places 4th place in Serie A. Fiorentina takes 3rd place with 2 points ahead Roma. If Roma players keep it up, they will have great opportunity to play in Champions League next year. Roma players prefer playing positioning football controlling the ball on encounter’s field side. Roma teammates usually involve in their attacks wings (especially right), create and realize many chances. Concerning to defense, host defenders often let their opponents make chances but it isn’t dramatically. For Rome is really hard to play against top football clubs: Romans were defeated by Juventus, tie game with Milan and Napoli. Roma was defeated by dominant Spanish team Barcelona in previous group stages. The home match was played better – tie game 1-1. Luciano Spalletti can’t count on Mohamed Salah in the upcoming match. It’s hard to say whether Daniele de Rossi and famous player Francesco Totti will take part in the game.

Let’s look at upcoming match according to bets on corners. Bookies consider that hosts will be favorites and odds on Real Madrid win is 1.71 (1xBet). And I think that it should be counted.

Roma supervised 32 matches in this season. The team won only 17 times on corners. Recently Roma played against not so strong football clubs and there were 2 defeats on corners in matches against Sampdoria and Sassuolo. If look at home Romans matches, team situation is not going to improve: 16 matches, 8 wins and 6 defeats on corners. Barcelona won the game against Roma with corners twice 7-1 and 11-3 in the Champions League of the group stage.

Madrids won 25 of 31 matches on corners this season. Royal club supervised 15 matches away and in 13 of them took corners more than their opponents. Madrids took more corners than encounters in every match they played in CL group stage. Thus, I think that Madrids are favorites in the upcoming match considering corners, if to take to attention match status and previous played games.

Also in my opinion we should take notice on offsides stats. 1хBet bookie line on offsides is 2,36 for Rome win, 4,5 for draw and 2,21 for Real Madrid win. So the chances of the teams to beat each on offsides are equal . But is it really so?

After Luciano Spalletti coming up Romans supervised 6 matches in the league. And only once Rome had more offsides than its encounter. Romans were defeated in the rest of the matches. In last 5 matches Roma’s encounters got 3.6 offsides on average.

After changing Real coach, 6 matches were supervised in the league, 4 times Madrid got offsides more than opposite team. In last 5 matches Real Madrid got 4.2 offsides on average and their encounters just 1.2 offsides.

To sum up, betting on Real win on offsides is very good idea.

 

[CristRo7]

Roma – Real Madrid

The score on corner kicks 7-5. Pick lose.

 

[CristRo7]

Sassuolo-Empoli

Sassuolo will face Empoli in 26th game week of Seria A. These teams are neighborhood in tournament table – Sassuolo takes 8th place and their encounters are on 9th place. Despite the championship will last for a long time yet teams are not afraid of flying out. On the other hand, it will be surprise if they play in Eurocups. Teams supervised 5 games synchronously: three times drew and two times were defeated. Fans wait for wins and only one team will bring them happiness. Sassuolo tied in last two games: firstly was home match with Palermo and the next was away match with Chievo. Sassuolo players showed combinational football and controlled the ball more than their opponents in both matches. The game style of the team includes good attacking football and lots of distant shots. Attacking and defensive game “on the second floor” is big advantage of Sassuolo players. Berardi often sends ball to penalty area and Sansone has good dribbling. They are going to play in wings.

Empoli players were unexpectedly defeated by outsider of the league Frosinone in home match (1-2). Empoli will play away with neighborhood in tournament table in bad mood. Mário Rui is main left defender and he won’t play in upcoming game because of disqualification. Empoli tries to play with short passes and to create chances controlling the ball. Headers isn’t advantage of the team and strong opponent can make use of it.

Let’s look at upcoming match according to bets on corners. Bookies set Sassuolo as favorite on corners. The odds on win is 1.62, the odds on draw is 6.6 and the odds on guests’ win is 3.05 (at 1xBet). In my opinion bet on Sassuolo win will be covered and even -1.5 handicap looks attractive (for odds 1,95).

Sassuolo was defeated on corners two times in previous 10 matches. And the team got wins even with such top teams as Napoli and Roma. Sassuolo won on corners in 8 of 12 matches at home (in last 6 matches they won 5 times). The exception is game against Bologna in which Sassuolo lost. The side took more than 7 corners during 6 last home games.

Empoli’s stats on corners in away games are depressing: 3 wins and 10 defeats. They won only once in last 10 matches. The team delivers 3.85 corners on average away with negative average difference of 2 corners.

To conclude both teams will try to win in upcoming match to make fans happy. Home side knows about their powerful skill of heading the ball and will try to use it. Corners are great way to realize chances. Thus I think that bet on Sassuolo is reasonable. For those who like risk I offer to bet on hosts with minus handicap.

 

[CristRo7]

Sassuolo-Empoli

The score on corner kicks 8-5. Pick win.

 

[CristRo7]

Bayer – Sporting

The return leg of Europe League will be supervised on Thursday. In one of the matches Lisbon’s Sporting will guest Leverkusen’s Bayer. German players were dominant and won 1-0 in first game. Leverkusen’s team made shots 7 times more than their opponents (score on shots 14-2). Semedo was sent-off because he got 2 yellow cards but Bayer couldn’t get use of it although made good chances near encounter’s gate. The teams will face again this week. Of course Portugueses made conclusions after previous game and will try to play attacking football for going to the next round of Europe League. Bayer could play counterattacking football.

Bayer’s players prefer playing positioning football controlling the ball on opponents’ field part. On the other hand, their counterattacks are dangerous too: fast Bayer’s players on attacking wing are able to score a goal not to spend much time and efforts for it. They play attacking football well too. Leverkusen’s players can control encounters actions playing defensively. But sometimes there are backs’ individual mistakes. Team is well-positioned at all. Chances are made while team control the ball. Should be admitted that left wing is dominant in attacks and Germans play confidently on “second floor”.

Sporting is typical Portuguese team. They play attacking football well. Although Sporting faces difficulties playing defensively. The team squad includes young and experienced players and they can make good result. Counting result of first game and characteristic style features of the team should wait for attacking football because Portuguese want to achieve needed result.

Let’s look at upcoming match according to bets on corners. Bookies consider that hosts will take corners more often than guests, total over is more 9.5. I suggest looking at this bet.

First match was played with 3-8 on corners, it means that total over was beaten confidently. If bring to attention previous Bayer’s games could be noted that team always took more than 6 corners after winter holidays (on average 7.14 corners during a game). Apart from, Leverkusen’s players took corners more than 9 times in each match. It means that total over 9.5 can be covered in return match with Sporting. Looking at last 7 games of Portuguese team, only once the team took less than 5 corners and average individual total of for Sporting is 7.42. Also total over 9.5 was covered in previous 4 matches.

To sum up we see that teams often take corners and both of them can cover the bet. Counting importance of the match, high motivation of Portuguese and potential bet on attacking game lots of corners are going to be. Bookmaker 1xBet offers odds 1.60 on total over more than 9.5 and I think that is really good bet.

 

[CristRo7]

Bayer – Sporting

The score on corner kicks 3-3. Pick lose.

 

[CristRo7]

Russian Premier League will start again after winter holidays. However, the winter transfer window didn’t take place actively. The most significant transitions are Zhirkov’s and Kokorіn’s transfers from Dynamo to Zenit, as well as Shirokov’s transition from Spartak to CSKA. Also two teams lost their best strikers: Melgarejo moved from Kuban to Spartak and Niasse moved from Lokomotiv to Everton.

To the end of the first part of the season, the league table can be divided into 2 parts - the first eight clubs and the last eight clubs. The difference between the eighth and ninth teams is six points. All teams which are ahead of the league can fight for places in Eurocups in the spring: Terek and Ural will find it more difficult to do, but the other 6 teams haven’t lost their chances. For teams which are in the lower part of the table, the aim is not to drop out of the league.

The quantity of goals scored and missed is known by the majority of fans. We will have a look at how the teams presented themselves in the first part of the league in terms of corner kicks, cards and some other stats.

Let’s start by looking at corners. Among leaders on corners there are clubs which are situated in the top of the league. Out of the first six teams by this indicator, there are five teams who lead in the league table: Zenit, Krasnodar, Spartak, CSKA. Kazan Rubin is also in the group of these top teams, the team was one of the best teams in recent years. Exactly Zenit and Rubin take more than 6 corners per match. If you look at the losers of the championship by corners, we can see that: Ufa, Mordoviya, Kuban and Anzhi take less corner kicks on average. A bit unexpectedly, Rostov are ahead in the league, although they haven’t taken many corner kicks, however, it is because of their unique play style. Anzhi and Terek deliver on average, less than 4 corners per game, so seeing them low in the corners table isn’t surprising.

However, lots of corners don’t guarantee a win on corners in a match. For instance, even though Amkar and Krylya Sovetov have had 11 and 10 wins respectively on corners in 18 matches despite taking on average just 4.44 corners. Zenit is the top team in the league on corners: the team won 15 of 18 matches on corners, the follower up is Krasnodar – the team got 12 wins on corner kicks. The teams with the least number of corner kicks per game were Terek and Anzhi, with only 5 wins each on corners.

The largest amount of corner kicks is taken in matches with the participation of Rubin, Ufa and Dynamo, where on average more than 10 kicks per game are delivered. The least quantity of corners (on average less than 9 per game) are seen in matches in which Rostov, Lokomotiv and Amkar played.

Moving on from corners to cards - the rudest teams in current season are Amkar, Rostov and Terek. Their players got on average 2.5 yellow cards during each

match. The most peaceful team is Samara’s Krylya Sovetov, whose players got on average less than 1.5 yellow cards. The highest number of yellow cards was shown in matches in which Rubin, Anzhi and Rostow played, at approximately 4.5 cards per match and the lowest yellow cards number was in Krylya Sovetov’s matches.

Let’s change from yellow to red cards: Rubin’s players got the most cards (4 cards for 18 matches). Spartak’s players, however, didn’t get any red cards. Mostly, red cards are shown in Moscow Dynamo matches: three Muscovites and three of their rivals were sent off. Only one Krylya Sovetov’s player was sent off during 18 games.

The quantity of cards depends not only on players’ behaviour, but also on the referee’s decision. The strictest referee in the first circle of the league was S. Karasev. He has shown 44 yellow cards (4.89 yellow cards on average), 6 red cards and has appointed 5 penalties in 9 matches.

 

[CristRo7]

Tottenham - Arsenal

Main match of 29th tournament English Premier League is the match Tottenham – Arsenal. Spurs are slight favorite on corners to Gunners. But is it fair? Let’s find out.

Tottenham plays very well home games. They supervised 14 home games in the League. The team has great result: 11 wins, 2 ties and only once Spurs was defeated by Manchester City. Hosts take on average 7.71 corners per game and allow opponents take on average 4.5 corners during a game on White Hart Lane. More over average Tottenham corners is 11.6 in the last 5 games. And the encounters delivered 4.6 corners per game. Arsenal and Leicester take on average 5.21 corners away. West Ham United takes slightly more corners than Arsenal and Everton takes slightly less corners than Spurs. If you look at how Tottenham played at home with those clubs on corners you will see that Spurs won three times. Lately Leicester was defeated by Spurs, the score was 16:8.

Arsenal supervised 14 games away but results on corners aren’t so impressing – 6 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats. The result of last 5 games is 2 defeats, 1 draw and only 1 win. If to take to attention 5 last games there is number of just 3.8 corners oer game for Arsenal (while encounters average corners is 5.4). Manchester City and Liverpool take on average 7.71 corners at home that is similar for Tottenham. Manchester City will face Arsenal later, and Liverpool won at home on corners from Arsenal with big result 9-3.

If you look at stats of head-to-head matches on Tottenham’s field Spurs are really successful because they won 4 of 5 games and only once was defeated. Spurs took on average 7 corners per match while Gunners just 4.8.

So I think that bet on Tottenham on corners is attractive. Bookie 1xBet offers 1.77 odds on upcoming match.