Italy Round 33

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[qpLucas]

Spezia - Inter
Pick: Spezia AH+1,5 @ 1,99

Spezia is close to officialy save the season, Inter will fight for the Scudetto until the last round. It's not about winning 3-0, it's all about 3 points (and any point for the home side). With odds near to 2, why not trying Spezia losing by maximum of 1 goal difference.

 

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[spkutano]

AC Milan vs Genoa Preview:

Possible starting lineups:

AC Milan:
Maignan; Calabria, Kalulu, Tomori, Hernandez; Tonali, Kessie; Saelemaekers, Diaz, Leao; Giroud

Genoa:
Perin; Hefti, Maksimovic, Ostigard, Vasquez; Badelj, Galdames; Melegoni, Amiri, Portanova; Ekuban

Milan welcome Genoa to Stadio San Siro on Friday night as both teams are looking for the points for different reasons. Stefano Pioli's men are first on the table, two points ahead of the second-placed Inter, who have a game in hand. The actual form is not at desired level, two draws in the last two rounds. Milan shared the points with Bologna and Torino, but that mean they dropped four points. What is worse, they failed to score a single goal on the mentioned two games. The Rossoneri had 47 shots on goal on these games, but they were unable to find the back of the net. Milan are between the most successful teams in Italy, but they haven't won a title in the past 10 years. Coach Stefano Pioli has some issues ahead of this match. Seven players are sidelined through injury, including the key forward Zlatan Ibrahimovic. Ismael Bennacer, Samu Castillejo, Ante Rebic and Alessio Romagnoli are all out with muscle injuries, while Alessandro Florenzi and Simon Kjaer are long-term injury victims. Pioli is unlikely to make too many changes to his starting lineup, so Olivier Giroud should lead the line once again, suppoted by Rafael Leao, Brahim Diaz and Alexis Saelemaekers.

Genoa are second from the bottom with only 22 points. The situation looks critical and the next few games are very important. However, the actual form is poor - Genoa have suffered two defeats on the last two matches in Serie A. They lost 1:0 to Verona and 4:1 to Lazio at home. The positive thing is they were unbeaten on the previous eight matches. The atmosphere in the squad is poor following the last defeats. At the same time, the players confidence is surely low at the moment. Interesting to be mentioned, Genoa have identical home and away records in Serie A this season after 32 matches. They have only two victories, against Torino at home, and Cagliari on road. The Rossoblu are three points adrift of safety with six games remaining. Some of them are more difficult, like this one. Nevertheless, Genoa managed to surprise Milan at San Siro in March 2020, so nothing is impossible. Coach Alexander Blessin will be without six injured players - Zinho Vanheusden, Andrea Cambiaso, Lennart Czyborra, Nicolo Rovella, Stefano Sturaro and Riccardo Calafiori. The veteran striker Mattia Destro, who has scored just twice in 2022, will be particularly motivated to impress against his old club.

AC Milan vs Genoa Prediction:

I expect Under 2.5 goals at San Siro. Milan failed to score a single goal on the last two matches. Genoa, meanwhile, will try to remain unbeaten with a simple tactic known as 'catenaccio'. The Rossoblu have scored just twice in the last six games. Considering these facts, I think there will be no more than two goals.

AC Milan vs Genoa Pick: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.05 with Pinnacle

 

[spkutano]

Napoli vs Roma Preview:

Possible starting lineups:

Napoli:
Ospina; Zanoli, Rrahmani, Koulibaly, Rui; Anguissa, Lobotka, Ruiz; Lozano, Osimhen, Insigne

Roma:
Patricio; Mancini, Smalling, Ibanez; Karsdorp, Cristante, Oliveira, Zalewski; Pellegrini; Zaniolo, Abraham

Napoli welcome Roma to Stadio Diego Armando Maradona on Monday night as both teams are looking for important three points. The Vesuvians are on the third position with 66 points, five less than first-placed Milan. It is clear the last week's home defeat to Fiorentina could cost Napoli the title. The Viola scored first in the 29th minute through Nicolas Gonzalez, but Dries Mertens dragged the hosts level eight minutes into the second half. And just when everybody was expecting another goal for the hosts, Jonathan Ikone's fine drilled finish and a superb solo goal from Arthur Cabral stunned the stadium into silence. Napoli's top goalscorer Victor Osimhen got one back 6 minutes from time, but it was too little too late. Coach Spalletti must find a way to improve the defense as Napoli have conceded in each of their last eight games in Serie A. In addition, they were heavily beaten by Barcelona in UEFA Europa League, so they are very vulnerable to the counter-attacks. About the team news, Andre Zambo Anguissa is back from suspension for Napoli and should start in midfield, while this match comes too soon for right-back Giovanni Di Lorenzo. Reserve keeper Alex Meret is sidelined by gastroenteritis and striker Andrea Petagna is also unavailable.

Roma are fifth on the table, six points adrift of Juventus. The actual form could be rated as solid, they are unbeaten on the last 11 matches in Serie A. The ultimate defeat came in early January, but the fans are still remembering that match. The Giallorossi had 3:1 against the Old Lady, but collapsed in the finish, conceded three easy goals and lost 3:4 at the end. Exactly those points make the difference between Juve and Roma at the moment. However, Jose Mourinho's men were also successful in Europa. They secured the semi-finals after recorded a 4:0 home victory over Bodo/Glimt. Tammy Abraham's early strike and Nicolo Zaniolo’s hat-trick were enough for a high 5:2 aggregate victory. The atmosphere in the squad is excellent, while the players confidence is higher. Mourinho will not make lot of changes to the starting eleven from Thursday, but some players could be tired. That means Sergio Oliveira should return in midfield after being rested against Bodo. Captain Lorenzo Pellegrini served a domestic suspension against Salernitana and is expected to start. Long-term absentee Leonardo Spinazzola has been back on the bench for the last two occasions. It's just a matter of time when he will make his full comeback.

Napoli vs Roma Prediction:

I expect both teams to score here. Napoli key striker Victor Osimhen is in solid form, he has been directly involved in six goals in his last three appearances. At the same time their defense isn't at desired level, Napoli have conceded in each of their last eight games in Serie A, plus they lost 4:0 at home to Barcelona in Europe. Roma have scored four goals against Norwegian outfit Bodo on Thursday and the players confidence is high. I expect the Giallorossi to score.

Napoli vs Roma Pick: Both teams to score - Yes @ 1.75 with Bet365

 

[spkutano]

AC Milan vs Genoa Pick: Under 2.5 goals @ 2.05 with Pinnacle

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