NBA Free Pick 1/17/2026

cRUTHIK13

Casual Punter
Joined
Dec 20, 2025
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Mavericks -145
  • Dallas just beat Utah convincingly (144-122), showing better depth and offensive balance.
  • Predictive models give Dallas roughly a 60-65% chance to win.
  • Utah is a poor defensive team and struggles as a moneyline underdog.
  • Dallas benefits from playing at home, where they perform significantly better.
  • The betting market already prices Dallas as the rightful favorite.

Conclusion: Mavericks Moneyline is the safer play versus the spread, assuming no major late injury surprises.
 
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