Bayer Leverkusen v Borussia Dortmund
The hosts are still unbeaten at home this season and if they can remain unbeaten and sneak in a win the Draw No Bet offers some fantastic value, you can get it at 29/20 at 32 Red Bet & the AH (0) is 77/50 with Dafabet.
Matches between these two at Leverkusen's Bay Arena usually produce a fair amout of goals, 3 from the previous 5 have gone over 2.5 goals and only 1/5 have produced a blank. Both teams only boast 1/5 clean sheets and both have scored in 4/5. The odds on Both Teams to Score are pretty short, but with both teams scoring for fun at the moment, Sami Hypia's men have netted 6 goals since returning from the winter break, while Jurgen Klopp's team have notched up 8 since returning. BTTS is 8/13 with Stan James. Both teams are conceding goals too, both share the stat of only having 6/19 clean sheets. The Lions though have had 5 clean sheets at home, but the Borussians have scored in every single away match this season.
Injury-wise, the home side will be without German midfielder Karim Bellarabi and Czech defender Michal Kadlec. Dortmund continue to play without the sidelined Serbian Neven Subotic. However, both teams have more than enough cover for their injured players.
Leverkusen's success this season has been centered on German stricker Stefan Kießling. The former Nuremberg player only managed 15 goals in 73 apps for Der Club, but since joining The Lions has simply been a revelation, scoring 85 times in 204 apps to date. Indeed, he has found the net 13/19 times this season. William Hill are offering fantastic odds of 7/4 for him to score anytime here. Meanwhile, Dortmund are scoring for fun and goals are coming from all over the field. Polish stricker Robert Lewandowski has 12 from 18, his compatriot Kuba Błaszczykowski has 8/15, while homegrown players Mario Götze and Marco Reus both have seven goals each. Lewandowski is 5/4 with Boylesports to score anytime, while Błaszczykowski, Dortmund's regular penalty taker, is 9/4 with William Hill. Götze & Reus are both 5/4 with Bet Victor to score anytime.
While I believe both teams would take the draw, there is actually more pressure on Dortmund and they need to stay focused and not let thoughts of the Champions League enter their heads just yet. Even though they haven't beaten Dortmund at home in a long time, Bayer will go into this match full of confidence. In the last six games they've only lost and drawn once, and as said earlier they are unbeaten at home this season. Dortmund's biggest problem this season has been their failure to finish off teams. 4 draws from 10 away games is the reason they are so far behind, the all-but-named-champions, Bayern Munich. Who ever wins this match could well go on to cement their position in second place. I think the AH +0.25 is also great value for Leverkusen.
Pinnacle have this at a whopping 30/29. The highest odds for the draw can be found with MarathonBet, at 27/10.
Best Bets
BTTS: 8/13 with Stan James
Bayer Leverkusen +0.25: 30/29 with Pinnacle
Lewandowski anytime scorer: 5/4 with Boylesports
