SharpEddie47's latest activity
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SharpEddie47 posted the thread Why Everyone Bets Overs (And Why Books Love It) in General Gambling Forum.I was looking through some closing line data from the last three years of NFL and NBA action, and the trend is still staggering. On... -
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Why the Public Always Overbets Favorites.Princess, that's genuine growth right there and I respect you for being open to changing your mind. Most recreational bettors never get...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Why the Public Always Overbets Favorites.Princess, nobody's calling you stupid. But you're demonstrating exactly why the public loses money on favorites. You just said: "I'd...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Why Most Betting Systems Eventually Fail.Fade is right about the difference between a system and an approach, though I'd argue a good system IS an approach that's been...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Why the Public Always Overbets Favorites.Princess I'm going to explain this as clearly as I can. The question isn't whether favorites win. They do win. That's why they're...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Why Most Betting Systems Eventually Fail.You're not wrong but you're also not entirely right either. Systems fail for one primary reason: insufficient sample size before...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Why "Good Picks" Can Be Bad Bets.Professor is right about closing line value. That's the single best metric for evaluating whether you're making good bets independent of...
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SharpEddie47 reacted to ThePuntingProf's post in the thread Why "Good Picks" Can Be Bad Bets with
Smart.
@ParlayPrincess_88 I hope you do not feel discouraged because what you are experiencing is the exact learning curve that every... -
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Why "Good Picks" Can Be Bad Bets.Klaus is right about the systematic approach. Let me add the practical threshold I use. I don't bet unless I believe the true...
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@ParlayPrincess_88 asks the correct question. Identifying mispricing requires systematic approach, not guesswork. The practical...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Why "Good Picks" Can Be Bad Bets.This is actually one of the most important concepts in sports betting and most people never understand it. A good pick means you...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Why Bookmakers Don't Care If You Win a Bet.You're mostly correct but missing a critical nuance. Bookmakers operate different business models and this determines whether they care...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Micro-Markets in Betting: Turning Every Minute into a Chance.@DublinDegen is actually touchin on the fundamental issue with micro markets that this article completely glosses over: they're designed...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Why Winning Bets Still Lose Money Long-Term.Princess, I appreciate the honest question and I'm not going to yell at you because you're actually asking the right thing. If you're...
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SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Review Everygame Review - Bonus, Odds, Payouts, App, Casino.Using multiple sportsbooks is the way to go anyway. Can't trust only one bookmaker, the same with stock investments, can't trust one...
