SharpEddie47's latest activity
-
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Guide When Should You Hedge a Sports Bet?.Hedging almost always reduces expected value, and most people hedge emotionally rather than rationally. I've tracked every hedge... -
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Guide Why Do Sharp Bettors Take Worse Odds?.I need to push back on some of the framing because it makes it sound like sharp bettors are routinely accepting worse prices when the...
-
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Guide Are Sportsbook VIP Programs Worth It?.I'm glad someone is finally being honest about VIP programs because they're one of the most insidious retention mechanisms the industry...
-
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Guide Should You Split Your Betting Bankroll?.This is excellent content and I'm pleased to see portfolio separation getting proper treatment because most bettors lump everything...
-
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Guide What Is Overround in Sports Betting?.This is one of the most important concepts in betting and the guide does an excellent job explaining it. Let me add some real-world data...
-
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Guide What Do NFL Line Moves Actually Tell You?.Let me add some quantitative perspective from tracking every NFL line since 2010. Movement that actually correlates with winning bets...
-
SharpEddie47 reacted to Betting Forum's post in the thread Guide What Do NFL Line Moves Actually Tell You? with
Like.
The line moved from -3 to -3.5. Sharp action or just noise? The total dropped a point in ten minutes. Someone knows something or is it... -
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Guide What Are Key Numbers in NFL Betting? Why 3 and 7 Matter More Than Any Other Spreads.This guide covers the fundamentals well. Let me add some actual data that quantifies how valuable key numbers are. Real frequency data...
-
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Guide Beginner-Friendly Betting Strategies That Actually Work.That's a good idea. Simplifying things when you are not sure.
-
SharpEddie47 reacted to LissArcen's post in the thread Guide Beginner-Friendly Betting Strategies That Actually Work with Like.
What helped me early on was focusing only on one league so I could really get a feel for the teams and patterns instead of spreading...
-
SharpEddie47 reacted to LissArcen's post in the thread Mentally cant get over my huge gambling losses with Like.
Sometimes, difficult situations can lead to feelings of depersonalization, which is when you feel disconnected from yourself. It's...
-
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Guide Building a Simple Pre-Match Checklist You Actually Use.@CoachTony_Bets , this is one of the best practical posts I've seen on this forum in months. Your 6-question checklist is tight and...
-
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Guide Finding Your Betting Identity: Favourite Markets, Strengths and Weak Spots.This is a solid topic because most people skip it and then wonder why they feel "unlucky" every other week. If you do not know what your...
-
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Guide The Safest Betting Markets for Beginners.I get what you are trying to do, but I think calling anything "safe" for beginners is a slippery slope, because half the beginners...
-
SharpEddie47 replied to the thread Guide Beginner-Friendly Betting Strategies That Actually Work.You have got the fundamentals right. Flat staking is absolutely the foundation, but let me add some numbers that matter. Your unit...