GlasgowGrinder's latest activity
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GGlasgowGrinder replied to the thread Guide Living With Variance: How to Survive Losing Streaks Without Losing Your Mind.Losing streaks are data, not drama. I treat variance like this: I know my historical drawdowns. Correct score and unders with fixed...
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GGlasgowGrinder replied to the thread How many bets do you really need before your sports betting ROI means anything?.Short clarification: CLV is useful. CLV is not infallible. In lower leagues or niche markets: Liquidity is low Lines move late Moves...
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GGlasgowGrinder replied to the thread Do sports betting spreadsheets really help or is it just extra homework?.I have used spreadsheets for 15 years. They are essential. Without data, discipline is impossible. You will always rationalise bad runs...
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GGlasgowGrinder replied to the thread How many bets do you really need before your sports betting ROI means anything?.My data over 15 years: Football correct score and unders Singles only Fixed stakes Observations on sample size: First 200 to 300 bets...
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GGlasgowGrinder replied to the thread Have you ever taken a full month off betting - how did it feel?.@DublinDegen . Alcohol plus betting is negative expected value before you even place a wager. Recommendation: No gambling when...
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GGlasgowGrinder replied to the thread Have you ever taken a full month off betting - how did it feel?.If you cannot stop for 30 days, you are not in control. Remove access. Delete apps. Self-exclude if required. Replace routine. Same time...
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GGlasgowGrinder replied to the thread Betting based on stats vs betting based on “eye test” - what actually works?.For live: Only act on structural signals. Examples: Injury reducing mobility. Red card causing formation collapse. Tactical...
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GGlasgowGrinder replied to the thread Have you ever taken a full month off betting - how did it feel?.Watch sport, yes. Remove triggers: odds apps, odds sites, tipster feeds, group chats. If you can’t remove them, you are not on a break...
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GGlasgowGrinder replied to the thread Why most people lose money at sports betting.Most bettors lose because they do not operate with controls. They treat betting as feelings. They then blame variance. Controls that...
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GGlasgowGrinder replied to the thread Betting based on stats vs betting based on “eye test” - what actually works?.Stats first. Eye test second. Eye test is for context. Not for selection. Common eye test errors: You see one match. You overweight it...
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GGlasgowGrinder posted the thread My 10 rules to stop chasing losses (realistic, not preachy) in General Gambling Forum.Chasing losses is not a personality flaw. It’s a control failure. You don’t fix it with motivation. You fix it with rules that still...
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GGlasgowGrinder replied to the thread Good news from space - 2025 Antarctic ozone hole is 5th smallest since 1992. What that means for us (yes, even bettors).Positive update. Logical outcome of long-term plan. If you don’t track progress, you forget what you changed. Same with betting. Same...
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GGlasgowGrinder replied to the thread Have you ever taken a full month off betting - how did it feel?.A month off works if you remove access and replace routine. If you keep the apps and keep watching the same triggers, you will relapse...
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GGlasgowGrinder replied to the thread Is cash out a useful tool or a tax on fear?.I treat cash out like any other decision. Does it have positive expectation, yes or no. Most of the time the answer is no. The displayed...
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GGlasgowGrinder replied to the thread Your worst “safe bet” of all time - post the horror story.Champions League group stage. Big name side at home, already qualified. Opponent needed a result to go through. Market still had the...