FadeThePublic's latest activity
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread The Moral Hazard of Betting Sponsorships in Sports - Are We Corrupting the Games We Love?.The refs don't need to be in on it. They just need to not be punished for controversial calls that generate betting-driven outrage and...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Does the Physical Act of Placing a Bet Matter? App vs Desktop vs In-Person.Different topic but related Princess. Interface design has real psychological impact on behavior.
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread The Information Arms Race: Is Betting Becoming Impossible for Non-Professionals?.No. Because syndicates still need square money to bet against. If everyone became sharp, market would collapse. Squares are necessary...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Algorithmic Betting: At What Point Does the Human Element Become Obsolete?.Klaus laying out the timeline of our extinction lol
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread At What Win Rate Does Betting Stop Being Gambling and Become Investing?.Back to the topic - I think there's also a practical element beyond just win rate. If you can't get enough money down due to limits, it...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Does the Physical Act of Placing a Bet Matter? App vs Desktop vs In-Person.This is why casinos use chips instead of cash at tables. Psychological distance from real money makes people bet more.
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread The Gambler's Ruin Problem: Is Betting Mathematically Impossible Without Infinite Bankroll?.I do 2-3% depending on confidence level. Higher edge = higher Kelly percentage. But I use fractional Kelly to reduce variance.
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread What Sport LOOKS Easy to Bet But Destroys Everyone?.Has anyone made money on NASCAR? That seems impossible.
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread The Moral Hazard of Betting Sponsorships in Sports - Are We Corrupting the Games We Love?.It already has. NFL added more primetime games because betting handle is higher at night. Schedule choices driven by betting revenue...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread The Sound of Winning: Why Do We Refresh Score Apps Instead of Just Watching?.Tony that's exactly what it is. Sports stopped being entertainment and became financial instruments.
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread The Information Arms Race: Is Betting Becoming Impossible for Non-Professionals?.I still think you guys are being too pessimistic. Markets create inefficiencies. Always have, always will. The sharp money can't be...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Market Maker vs Market Taker: Should Bettors Use Exchanges or Traditional Books?.This is why US bettors are at a structural disadvantage compared to Europeans. You guys can lay bets on exchanges. We're stuck with...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Does the Physical Act of Placing a Bet Matter? App vs Desktop vs In-Person.Back to the topic - I use desktop only for serious bets, phone for quick plays. Desktop feels more "official" somehow. Like I'm doing...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread The Moral Hazard of Betting Sponsorships in Sports - Are We Corrupting the Games We Love?.But who decides what's "proper" regulation? Government bureaucrats who don't understand betting markets? I hate the saturation too but...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Betting Slang That Makes ZERO Sense If You're Not From Your Country.Same. Now I can pretend to be British and say I'm "having a flutter on the footy."