FadeThePublic's latest activity
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Why Winning Bets Still Lose Money Long-Term.Here's the part that Eddie's too polite to say directly: most bettors who brag about their win percentage are either lying or...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Why Don't More Books Offer Proper Asian Handicaps?.Princess the concept is actually simpler than it looks once you get past the decimal numbers. Asian handicap -0.5 just means the team...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Guide Why Do Favorites Lose In Tennis? Common Betting Traps That Cost Money."Why Do Favorites Lose In Tennis?" Well gee, because if favorites won 100% of the time and sport was perfectly predictable, bookmakers...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Guide What's the Difference Between Betting ATP and WTA Tennis?.Eddie that's actually a perfect example of where the contrarian edge exists in WTA. You said WTA favorites don't close out as...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Guide Line Movement: Reading the Story Without Chasing It.The important thing about line movement is information, not instruction. I've spent years tracking this and the single biggest mistake I...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Guide Building a Simple Pre-Match Checklist You Actually Use.Tony's checklist is solid, Eddie's confidence data is fascinating. Here's what I'd add from a contrarian perspective: Add this...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Guide Mistakes Beginner Bettors Must Avoid.The guide is decent but it's missing the single biggest beginner mistake: betting without understanding where the line comes from...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Guide The Beginner’s Guide to Value Betting.Here’s what nobody wants to hear: “I believe it is 50%” is just a nicer way of saying “I feel it.” The article’s framework is correct...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Guide Mental Performance for High-Stakes Betting (How to Stay Sharp Under Pressure).Here is what nobody wants to hear: most “tilt” is just you changing your rules because you want action. You do not need anger to be...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Guide Live Betting for Serious Bettors (How to Stop Leaking Money In-Play).Most people hear “live betting” and translate it to “I get to chase the last highlight in HD.” That’s why books love in-play. The guide...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Guide Closing Line Value Isn’t a Flex - It’s Your Job.The funniest part is how people use CLV like a personality. You will see "CLV merchant" types who beat the close by a tick, lose a...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Hello from Milan (football singles, price first).Welcome!
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Guide Overconfidence After a Hot Streak: The Silent Bankroll Killer.Here is what nobody wants to hear. A hot streak does not make you sharper. It makes you lazier. You stop protecting yourself from...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Guide How to Handle Intangibles in Betting (Motivation, Travel, Psychology).Most “intangibles” are just excuses people use to justify bets they wanted to place anyway. If it isn’t measurable, it isn’t real edge...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Guide Turning Your Bet History Into a Coaching Tool (Not Just a List of Wins/Losses).90 percent of people use their bet history for bragging rights, not improvement. “I hit this long shot”, “I was up X units in March”...