FadeThePublic's latest activity
-
FFadeThePublic replied to the thread The impact of travel and time zones on performance.Eddie's data-driven approach is solid as usual but I want to add the public betting angle because travel narratives create predictable...
-
FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Betting team totals vs game totals: Which offers better value.I have a different take on team totals that's based on public betting patterns rather than matchup analysis. The public tends to overbet...
-
FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Teaser bets: Hidden value or another sucker bet?.I think we've covered the main points here. Teasers can be +EV if you follow Wong parameters strictly and get minus 110 odds, but...
-
FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Home field advantage: Is it declining in modern sports?.I want to add one more angle to this discussion. Home field advantage might be declining on average, but there are specific situations...
-
FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Teaser bets: Hidden value or another sucker bet?.I have mixed feelings on teasers. Eddie's math about Wong teasers being +EV is correct based on historical data, but I wonder if that...
-
FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Home field advantage: Is it declining in modern sports?.Eddie's analysis is solid as usual but I want to add the public betting angle because this is relevant to my approach. The public loves...
-
FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Shopping lines across multiple books: Worth the hassle?.I think we've reached consensus here. Line shopping is clearly worth it for anyone betting more than $20 per game. The effort required...
-
FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Do you bet more games or fewer games? Volume vs selectivity debate.Princess that's actually a reasonable compromise. Betting $5 on games for entertainment while betting $50 on games where you have...
-
FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Shopping lines across multiple books: Worth the hassle?.Eddie and Tony both make good points. I guess my question wasn't really whether line shopping has value mathematically, because...
-
FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Do you bet more games or fewer games? Volume vs selectivity debate.The volume versus selectivity question is interesting because the right answer depends on your betting style and edge. Eddie's approach...
-
FFadeThePublic posted the thread Shopping lines across multiple books: Worth the hassle? in General Gambling Forum.I currently have accounts at five different sportsbooks and I shop lines for every single bet I make. It's become part of my routine to...
-
FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Live betting: Skill or just glorified guessing?.I want to clarify my approach to live betting because I don't want people to think I'm just randomly fading the public during games...
-
FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Closing Line Value: Does it actually predict long-term success?.I want to push back on Eddie's point about coaching edges not being real because the market should price them in. The market is...
-
FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Bankroll management: How did you recover from a bad streak?.The journaling idea Tony mentioned is excellent. I track all my bets in a spreadsheet but during that losing streak I mentioned I also...
-
FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Live betting: Skill or just glorified guessing?.I actually disagree with Eddie slightly here. I think live betting can be profitable for the exact reasons he mentions but with a...