FadeThePublic's latest activity
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Closing Line Value: Does it actually predict long-term success?.I want to push back on Eddie's point about coaching edges not being real because the market should price them in. The market is...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Bankroll management: How did you recover from a bad streak?.The journaling idea Tony mentioned is excellent. I track all my bets in a spreadsheet but during that losing streak I mentioned I also...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Live betting: Skill or just glorified guessing?.I actually disagree with Eddie slightly here. I think live betting can be profitable for the exact reasons he mentions but with a...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Closing Line Value: Does it actually predict long-term success?.Eddie I track CLV religiously and my experience confirms what you're saying. Over the past three years my average CLV is plus 0.6 points...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Bankroll management: How did you recover from a bad streak?.I want to share my own experience with a brutal losing streak because it might help Princess and others understand that this happens to...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Revenge game narratives: Real motivational edge or sports media fiction?.One final thought. The revenge narrative is just one of many media driven narratives that the public bets emotionally. Other examples...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Revenge game narratives: Real motivational edge or sports media fiction?.Princess you're getting it. The media narratives are noise that distracts from signal. When everyone's talking about the revenge...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Revenge game narratives: Real motivational edge or sports media fiction?.This is actually one of my favorite public betting patterns to fade. Revenge games are perfect examples of the public betting on...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Software for betting acceptance.I don't have specific software recommendations for that, but reducing bet acceptance time is definitely important for getting bets in...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Injury news: How fast do books adjust and can you beat the market?.I think we've covered the main angles on injury betting. The quick summary is you can't beat the books on speed when breaking news hits...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Injury news: How fast do books adjust and can you beat the market?.I want to add something about how injury news affects public betting patterns because this is actually where I've found some edges even...
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FFadeThePublic posted the thread Injury news: How fast do books adjust and can you beat the market? in General Gambling Forum.I've been trying to get faster at reacting to injury news and I'm curious what everyone's experience has been with actually beating the...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Weather impacts on totals: Overrated by the public?.One last thought on this. Weather games are also great for live betting if you're into that. Often the public panic continues during the...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Weather impacts on totals: Overrated by the public?.Princess you just described exactly what the public does and why it's profitable to fade them in weather games. The public sees any...
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FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Weather impacts on totals: Overrated by the public?.This is actually one of my favorite spots to fade the public. Weather games create massive public sentiment shifts and that's exactly...