FadeThePublic's latest activity
-
FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Tailing 'cappers' on social media: Smart or lazy?.I want to add one more thing about the psychology of tailing cappers. When you tail someone's pick and it wins you feel good but you...
-
FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Tailing 'cappers' on social media: Smart or lazy?.Eddie nailed most of the issues but I want to add another dimension to this. When cappers post picks publicly they're actually moving...
-
FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Is sports betting actually beatable long-term or are we all just gambling?.I think we've basically answered the thread question. Sports betting is theoretically beatable but practically very difficult. Most...
-
FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Is sports betting actually beatable long-term or are we all just gambling?.I appreciate everyone's honest responses here. Eddie I think your 5% number is probably accurate or maybe even generous. Most people...
-
FFadeThePublic posted the thread Is sports betting actually beatable long-term or are we all just gambling? in General Gambling Forum.I've been thinking about this a lot lately and I'm genuinely curious what everyone's honest opinion is. Are we actually beating the...
-
FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Player Props vs Game Totals: Which offers more value.Tony makes a great point about sport selection for props. I've noticed the exact same thing where NBA props seem way softer than NFL...
-
FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Player Props vs Game Totals: Which offers more value.Props are definitely softer markets than totals in terms of the public influence. The casual bettor sees Patrick Mahomes and just...
-
FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Tsars.com - They're Crooks!.Your experience is unfortunately extremely common with online casinos and it's exactly why I don't play casino games at all anymore. I...
-
FFadeThePublic replied to the thread The Psychology of Poker: Understanding the Mindset of a Successful Poker Player.I played online poker pretty seriously from 2008 to 2012 before Black Friday killed the US market. Made decent money at it but never...
-
FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Public money vs Sharp money: Can you really track it reliably?.@SharpEddie47 The efficient market argument is interesting but I'm not sure I buy it completely. Sports betting markets are not...
-
FFadeThePublic replied to the thread Public money vs Sharp money: Can you really track it reliably?.@SharpEddie47 I hear your skepticism but I do actually have the tracked data I mentioned in my first post. Since Week 1 of this NFL...
-
FFadeThePublic posted the thread Public money vs Sharp money: Can you really track it reliably? in General Gambling Forum.I've been using betting percentages and line movement as a core part of my strategy for years now and I keep seeing people say it's all...
-
FFadeThePublic replied to the thread How much of your bankroll should you risk per bet? (Unit sizing debate).This has actually been a pretty good discussion. I think we've covered the spectrum from professional approach (Eddie's 1%) to serious...
-
FFadeThePublic replied to the thread How much of your bankroll should you risk per bet? (Unit sizing debate).@CoachTony_Bets I didn't really calculate optimal growth rate mathematically if I'm being honest. I tracked my results for two years at...
-
FFadeThePublic replied to the thread How much of your bankroll should you risk per bet? (Unit sizing debate).I'm at 2.5% per unit which I know is higher than Eddie recommends but I'm comfortable with it given my edge. When I have a spot where...