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UFC 202 - Predictions

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#1
As promised at the beginning of the week, here goes the result of our hard work.

In this first post, we'll present you the fights we are staying away of.

Either their capabilities are too similar or they are not proven enough. Here goes the list:

Anthony Johnson vs. Glover Teixeira
Hyun Gyu Lim vs. Mike Perry
Sabah Homasi vs. Tim Means
Artem Lobov vs. Chris Avila

Where we are putting our money is coming next...
 
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#2
Alberto Uda vs. Marvin Vettori.

Here our favorite is Alberto Uda. So there you go the underdog of the night.

The odds on Alberto Uda in Bet365 are (2.40, 7/5, +140)
As of now the ROI (return of investment) on Alberto Uda is approx. 140%, excluding fees.

The probabilities of each fighter to win are:

Alberto Uda (66%) vs. Marvin Vettori (34%)
 
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#3
Colby Covington vs. Max Griffin is coming next.

Here our favorite is Colby Covington. We are align with the odds here.

The odds for Colby Covington in Bet365 are (1.30, 3/10, -333)
The ROI on Colby Covington is going to be approx. 30%, before fees.

The probabilities of each fighter to win are:

Colby Covington(64%) vs. Max Griffin(36%)
 
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#4
Coming next:

Lorenz Larkin vs. Neil Magny is coming next.

Here our favorite is Neil Magny. We are align with the odds here.

The odds for Neil Magny in Bet365 are (1.70, 7/10, -143)
The ROI on Neil Magny is going to be approx. 70%, before fees.

The probabilities of each fighter to win are:

Lorenz Larkin(38%) vs. Neil Magny(62%)
 
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#5
Next fight:

Randa Markos vs. Cortney Casey.

Here our favorite is Randa Markos.

The odds for Randa Markos in Bet365 are (1.72, 8/11, -138)
The ROI on Randa Markos is going to be approx. 72%, before fees.

The probabilities of each fighter to win are:

Randa Markos(70%) vs. Cortney Casey(30%)
 
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#6
Another Ladies fight, this time
Raquel Pennington vs. Elizabeth Phillips.

Here our favorite is Raquel Pennington.

The odds for Raquel Pennington in Bet365 are (1.40, 2/5, -250)
The ROI on Raquel Pennington is going to be approx. 40%, before fees.

The probabilities of each fighter to win are:

Raquel Pennington(76%)vs. Elizabeth Phillips(23%).
 
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#7
Going back to the boys:
Cody Garbrandt vs. Takeya Mizugaki.

Here our favorite is Cody Garbrandt.

The odds for Cody Garbrandt in Bet365 are (1.18, 2/11, -550)
The ROI on Cody Garbrandt is going to be approx. 18%, before fees.

The probabilities of each fighter to win are:

Cody Garbrandt(82%)vs. Takeya Mizugaki(18%).
 
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#8
Donald Cerrone vs. Rick Story.

Here our favorite is Donald Cerrone.

The odds for Donald Cerrone in Bet365 are (1.70, 7/10, -143)
The ROI on Donald Cerrone is going to be approx. 70%, before fees.

The probabilities of each fighter to win are:

Donald Cerrone(70%) vs. Rick Story(30%).
 
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#9
And now the main event of the evening:
CONOR MCGREGOR vs. NATE DIAZ

Here our favorite is CONOR MCGREGOR.

The odds for CONOR MCGREGOR in Bet365 are (1.72, 8/11, -138)
The ROI on CONOR MCGREGOR is going to be approx. 72%, before fees.

The probabilities of each fighter to win are:

CONOR MCGREGOR(69%) vs. NATE DIAZ(31%).
 
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#10
Overall from the chosen matches, the average return is 59%, so in average we can afford to be wrong up to 3 fights to break even.

Stay tuned and follow us in twitter ;)
 
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