Italy Serie A betting Week 36, May 11-13
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Atalanta vs Genoa Preview:
Possible starting lineups:
Atalanta:
Gollini; Hateboer, Djimsiti, Palomino; Castagne, De Roon, Freuler, Gosens; Pasalic; Ilicic, Duvan Zapata
Genoa:
Radu; Biraschi, Romero, Zukanovic; Lazovic, Lerager, Radovanovic, Veloso, Criscito; Lapadula, Kouame
Atalanta are looking for a place that guarantee the Champions League football for the next season. They are currently fourth with 62 points, three more than Roma and Milan. Even the most optimistic fans could not have expected this situation before the start of the season. Gian Piero Gasperini, the former Genoa tactician, is doing a fantastic job and the fans are pleased. They will also face Lazio in the Coppa Italia final on Wednesday. Atalanta need two wins and one draw in the last three rounds to mathematically secure the fourth place which leads to the Champions League. Aside of Genoa, the opponents in the last rounds are Juventus and Sassuolo. The actual form is good, Atalanta are in series of 10 games without a single defeat in Serie A. Even more, they are in series of three victories. La Dea managed to beat Napoli at San Paolo with 2:1, Udinese with 2:0 and Lazio at Olimpico with 3:1. Duvan Zapata is in excellent form. With 29 goals in all competitions, he is the key player in the team. But Gasperini has huge issues ahead of this match. Three important players are sidelined due to suspension - Alejandro Gomez, Gianluca Mancini and Andrea Masiello. Their absence is a big handicap for the hosts. Thant's not all as Musa Barrow and Rafael Toloi are out injured. Finally, Josip Ilicic is rated as doubtful due to a knee injury. The Slovenian international will probably start the match, but it is clear he can’t play the whole 90 minutes.
Genoa are on the 16th place with 36 points. They are just four points away from the drop zone and it is clear they are still involved into the relegation battle. The actual form is solid, Genoa are unbeaten on the last two matches. I believe the atmosphere in the squad is positive, while the players confidence is higher. Coach Cesare Prandelli will try to extend the positive series in this match. The Grifone first played an 1:1 away draw with Spal. The defeat was escaped thanks to Gianluca Lapadula's goal scored in the second half. In the last round Genoa looked lost as Roma had one-goal advantage until the 90 minutes, but Cristian Romero equalized the result in the stoppage time. Genoa has a penalty after that, but Antonio Sanabria failed to convert it. There was a controversy about the fact that Domenico Cristico did not take the penalty. He came under fire for what supporters perceived to be a lack of leadership from their club captain. However, the hosts wasted an excellent opportunity to take three points from that game. For this match Prandelli has four injury worries. Andrea Favilli, Luca Mazzitelli, Oscar Hiljemark and Stefano Sturaro are all struggling with injuries. At the end I will mention that it will be lot of emotions for Atalanta coach Gian Piero Gasperini as he will face his old club.
Atalanta vs Genoa Prediction:
I expect both teams to score here. Atalanta are fighting for the Champions League spot, so they will go for the victory here. However, Gasperini has lot of injury and suspension issues and Genoa could take advantage from this fact. The guests are unbeaten on the last two matches and both finished with 1:1. I believe the players confidence is higher, so I expect Genoa to score too.
Atalanta vs Genoa Pick: Both teams to score - Yes @ 1.75 with Bet365
Possible starting lineups:
Atalanta:
Gollini; Hateboer, Djimsiti, Palomino; Castagne, De Roon, Freuler, Gosens; Pasalic; Ilicic, Duvan Zapata
Genoa:
Radu; Biraschi, Romero, Zukanovic; Lazovic, Lerager, Radovanovic, Veloso, Criscito; Lapadula, Kouame
Atalanta are looking for a place that guarantee the Champions League football for the next season. They are currently fourth with 62 points, three more than Roma and Milan. Even the most optimistic fans could not have expected this situation before the start of the season. Gian Piero Gasperini, the former Genoa tactician, is doing a fantastic job and the fans are pleased. They will also face Lazio in the Coppa Italia final on Wednesday. Atalanta need two wins and one draw in the last three rounds to mathematically secure the fourth place which leads to the Champions League. Aside of Genoa, the opponents in the last rounds are Juventus and Sassuolo. The actual form is good, Atalanta are in series of 10 games without a single defeat in Serie A. Even more, they are in series of three victories. La Dea managed to beat Napoli at San Paolo with 2:1, Udinese with 2:0 and Lazio at Olimpico with 3:1. Duvan Zapata is in excellent form. With 29 goals in all competitions, he is the key player in the team. But Gasperini has huge issues ahead of this match. Three important players are sidelined due to suspension - Alejandro Gomez, Gianluca Mancini and Andrea Masiello. Their absence is a big handicap for the hosts. Thant's not all as Musa Barrow and Rafael Toloi are out injured. Finally, Josip Ilicic is rated as doubtful due to a knee injury. The Slovenian international will probably start the match, but it is clear he can’t play the whole 90 minutes.
Genoa are on the 16th place with 36 points. They are just four points away from the drop zone and it is clear they are still involved into the relegation battle. The actual form is solid, Genoa are unbeaten on the last two matches. I believe the atmosphere in the squad is positive, while the players confidence is higher. Coach Cesare Prandelli will try to extend the positive series in this match. The Grifone first played an 1:1 away draw with Spal. The defeat was escaped thanks to Gianluca Lapadula's goal scored in the second half. In the last round Genoa looked lost as Roma had one-goal advantage until the 90 minutes, but Cristian Romero equalized the result in the stoppage time. Genoa has a penalty after that, but Antonio Sanabria failed to convert it. There was a controversy about the fact that Domenico Cristico did not take the penalty. He came under fire for what supporters perceived to be a lack of leadership from their club captain. However, the hosts wasted an excellent opportunity to take three points from that game. For this match Prandelli has four injury worries. Andrea Favilli, Luca Mazzitelli, Oscar Hiljemark and Stefano Sturaro are all struggling with injuries. At the end I will mention that it will be lot of emotions for Atalanta coach Gian Piero Gasperini as he will face his old club.
Atalanta vs Genoa Prediction:
I expect both teams to score here. Atalanta are fighting for the Champions League spot, so they will go for the victory here. However, Gasperini has lot of injury and suspension issues and Genoa could take advantage from this fact. The guests are unbeaten on the last two matches and both finished with 1:1. I believe the players confidence is higher, so I expect Genoa to score too.
Atalanta vs Genoa Pick: Both teams to score - Yes @ 1.75 with Bet365
Roma vs Juventus Preview:
Possible starting lineups:
Roma:
Mirante; Florenzi, Manolas, Fazio, Kolarov; Cristante, De Rossi; Zaniolo, Pellegrini, El Shaarawy, Dzeko
Juventus:
Szczesny; Cancelo, Bonucci, Chiellini, De Sciglio; Cuadrado, Pjanic, Matuidi, Spinazzola; Kean, Ronaldo
Roma are currently sharing the fifth position with Milan. Both teams have 59 points and both teams are three points away from the Champions League spots. The season is very turbulent for the Giallorossi. Roma suffered painful eliminations from the Champions League and Coppa Italia. Eusebio Di Francesco was replaced by Claudio Ranieri, but the coaching change did not bring results. Ranieri started well, Roma won against Empoli on his debut, but then went two matches without a victory. The Giallorossi lost to SPAL and Napoli and spoiled the atmosphere in the squad. The last results are much better as Roma are unbeaten on the previous six matches in Serie A. They managed to beat Sampdoria, Udinese and Cagliari, but shared the points with Fiorentina, Inter and Genoa last weekend. Roma had one-goal advantage against Atalanta, but conceded in the 91st minute. At the end they were lucky not to lose the match after goalkeeper Antonio Mirante saved the stoppage-time penalty. According to me, Roma defense isn't at desired level. The Capital outfit are the fourth highest scoring team in the league with 62 goals, behind Juventus, Napoli and Atalanta. However, they have conceded 47 goals and dropped many points so far this season. Ranieri has most of his players available for this match, only Diego Perotti is unavailable due to injury. Daniele De Rossi returns to the midfield.
Juventus sit on the first place with 89 points. The Old Lady have 16 points advantage to the second-placed Napoli and it is clear they secured another Scudetto, the 8th in a row. Juve are class above any team in Italy. However, the atmosphere in the squad isn't at highest level, while the players confidence is questionable. There are the reasons for this strange situation. First of all, the fans are disappointed with the failure in the Champions League. Coach Massimiliano Alegri came under pressure and there are some reports claiming that Antonio Conte could return to the former club. In addition, the actual league form isn't good, Juve have just one win in the last four matches in Serie A. Last weekend the Old Lady played just an 1:1 draw in the Derby della Mole with Torino. The Bianconeri were lucky not to lose as Cristiano Ronaldo equalized in the 84th minute. That was the second consecutive draw as Juve played 1:1 previously against Inter at Meazza. The away form is also poor, the Old Lady have just one win in their last six competitive matches on road. Juventus haven’t experienced a negative streak of one victory in seven games since Alberto Zaccheroni’s era in February 2010. Alegri may decide to rest some of his key players as Juve will face Atalanta in the Coppa Italia final three days later. To be worse, the coach has some injury and suspension worries ahead of this match. Alex Sandro, Douglas Costa, Emre Can, Mattia Perin, Mario Mandzukic and Sami Khedira are all struggling with injuries, while Federico Bernardeschi is suspended.
Roma vs Juventus Prediction:
I expect the hosts to win this match. Roma are fighting for the Champions League spot, so they will strongly attack. Juventus, meanwhile, have nothing to play for. In addition, coach Alegri has lot of injury and suspension issues. The guests have just one win on the last six away matches across all competitions. They were lucky not to lose against Torino last weekend as Cristiano Ronaldo equalized in the 84th minute. Juve showed lot of weaknesses on that match. This is a do-or-die encounter for Roma and I think they will win.
Roma vs Juventus Pick: Home win @ 2.50 with Bet365
Possible starting lineups:
Roma:
Mirante; Florenzi, Manolas, Fazio, Kolarov; Cristante, De Rossi; Zaniolo, Pellegrini, El Shaarawy, Dzeko
Juventus:
Szczesny; Cancelo, Bonucci, Chiellini, De Sciglio; Cuadrado, Pjanic, Matuidi, Spinazzola; Kean, Ronaldo
Roma are currently sharing the fifth position with Milan. Both teams have 59 points and both teams are three points away from the Champions League spots. The season is very turbulent for the Giallorossi. Roma suffered painful eliminations from the Champions League and Coppa Italia. Eusebio Di Francesco was replaced by Claudio Ranieri, but the coaching change did not bring results. Ranieri started well, Roma won against Empoli on his debut, but then went two matches without a victory. The Giallorossi lost to SPAL and Napoli and spoiled the atmosphere in the squad. The last results are much better as Roma are unbeaten on the previous six matches in Serie A. They managed to beat Sampdoria, Udinese and Cagliari, but shared the points with Fiorentina, Inter and Genoa last weekend. Roma had one-goal advantage against Atalanta, but conceded in the 91st minute. At the end they were lucky not to lose the match after goalkeeper Antonio Mirante saved the stoppage-time penalty. According to me, Roma defense isn't at desired level. The Capital outfit are the fourth highest scoring team in the league with 62 goals, behind Juventus, Napoli and Atalanta. However, they have conceded 47 goals and dropped many points so far this season. Ranieri has most of his players available for this match, only Diego Perotti is unavailable due to injury. Daniele De Rossi returns to the midfield.
Juventus sit on the first place with 89 points. The Old Lady have 16 points advantage to the second-placed Napoli and it is clear they secured another Scudetto, the 8th in a row. Juve are class above any team in Italy. However, the atmosphere in the squad isn't at highest level, while the players confidence is questionable. There are the reasons for this strange situation. First of all, the fans are disappointed with the failure in the Champions League. Coach Massimiliano Alegri came under pressure and there are some reports claiming that Antonio Conte could return to the former club. In addition, the actual league form isn't good, Juve have just one win in the last four matches in Serie A. Last weekend the Old Lady played just an 1:1 draw in the Derby della Mole with Torino. The Bianconeri were lucky not to lose as Cristiano Ronaldo equalized in the 84th minute. That was the second consecutive draw as Juve played 1:1 previously against Inter at Meazza. The away form is also poor, the Old Lady have just one win in their last six competitive matches on road. Juventus haven’t experienced a negative streak of one victory in seven games since Alberto Zaccheroni’s era in February 2010. Alegri may decide to rest some of his key players as Juve will face Atalanta in the Coppa Italia final three days later. To be worse, the coach has some injury and suspension worries ahead of this match. Alex Sandro, Douglas Costa, Emre Can, Mattia Perin, Mario Mandzukic and Sami Khedira are all struggling with injuries, while Federico Bernardeschi is suspended.
Roma vs Juventus Prediction:
I expect the hosts to win this match. Roma are fighting for the Champions League spot, so they will strongly attack. Juventus, meanwhile, have nothing to play for. In addition, coach Alegri has lot of injury and suspension issues. The guests have just one win on the last six away matches across all competitions. They were lucky not to lose against Torino last weekend as Cristiano Ronaldo equalized in the 84th minute. Juve showed lot of weaknesses on that match. This is a do-or-die encounter for Roma and I think they will win.
Roma vs Juventus Pick: Home win @ 2.50 with Bet365
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As Milan has made some losses recently, it is forced to go to victory by the end of the game and then see if it has managed to reach the goal of the Champions League. Today he has a derby in Florence to overcome, but with the situation of Fiorentina he can win
ACF FIORENTINA vs AC MILAN @@ AC MILAN, odds 2.30
A great fight at OAKA, where he judges a title, that of the Greek Cup, with both teams giving it all. AEK had more time to prepare, since PAOK was a bit disengaged from the Championship celebrations. The quality of the two teams is given, and any team found in her day and pulling her virtues will have the lead. Boundary favorite in betting platforms is the Northern Bull. I'm expecting a patience game without a risk from both opponents, because a goal changes balance. I will go with the few goals
PAOK THESSALONIKI vs AEK ATHENS @@ +2.50 Under, odds 1.45
After Dortmund's loss last week in Bremen, Bayern Munich opened the gap from the second place to the four points, two races before the finals of the championship. So he has two chances to win another title, first and better today against Leipzig away. The match is not easy and I will bet on many goals
RB LEIPZIG vs FC BAYERN MUNICH @@ +2.50 Over, odds 1.45
ACF FIORENTINA vs AC MILAN @@ AC MILAN, odds 2.30
A great fight at OAKA, where he judges a title, that of the Greek Cup, with both teams giving it all. AEK had more time to prepare, since PAOK was a bit disengaged from the Championship celebrations. The quality of the two teams is given, and any team found in her day and pulling her virtues will have the lead. Boundary favorite in betting platforms is the Northern Bull. I'm expecting a patience game without a risk from both opponents, because a goal changes balance. I will go with the few goals
PAOK THESSALONIKI vs AEK ATHENS @@ +2.50 Under, odds 1.45
After Dortmund's loss last week in Bremen, Bayern Munich opened the gap from the second place to the four points, two races before the finals of the championship. So he has two chances to win another title, first and better today against Leipzig away. The match is not easy and I will bet on many goals
RB LEIPZIG vs FC BAYERN MUNICH @@ +2.50 Over, odds 1.45
Bologna vs Parma Preview:
Possible starting lineups:
Bologna:
Skorupski; Mbaye, Danilo, Lyanco, Krejci; Pulgar, Dzemaili; Orsolini, Edera, Soriano; Palacio
Parma:
Sepe; Gazzola, Iacoponi, Bruno Alves, Bastoni, Dimarco; Rigoni, Scozzarella, Stulac; Siligardi, Gervinho
Bologna will host Parma in the Emilia-Romagna Derby. Both teams are not safe from relegation, so this match is very important. Bologna have 37 points, while Parma 38 and they are both dangerously close to the drop zone. The hosts are in solid form in the last period, although they lost 2:1 to Milan in the previous round. The defeat was undeserved according to the coach Sinisa Mihajlovic. The Serbian tactician felt his team "deserved to go at least two goals up" at San Siro. To be worse, two players were sent off on that match - Nicola Sansone and Mitchell Dijks. Worst of all, they are suspended for this match and it is a huge handicap for Bologna. But that's not all, Andrea Poli is also banned, while Federico Mattiello is sidelined through injury. At this point I will mention something positive - the home form. Bologna are in fantastic series of five victories at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara. That started against Cagliari in March when Bologna won 2:0 thanks to goals scored by Erick Pulgar and Roberto Soriano. Then came the narrow victory (2:1) over Sassuolo. Erick Pulgar and Mattia Destro were scorers on that match. The highest victory were obtain against Chievo and Sampdoria as both games ended with 3:0. Two goals from Erick Pulgar and one from Mitchell Dijks secured the victory against the Flying Donkeys, while Lorenzo Tonelli, Erick Pulgar and Riccardo Orsolini scored the goals against Sampdoria. In the last home match Bologna won 3:1 against Empoli. Roberto Soriano, Riccardo Orsolini and Nicola Sansone netted the goals two weeks ago.
As I wrote above, Parma have 38 points and sit close to the drop zone. The Ducali will face Fiorentina and Roma in the last two rounds. It is clear there is no space for any relaxation and must stay fully focused. Coach Roberto D’Aversa is feeling some pressure, as well as the players. The actual form is solid as Parma are unbeaten on the last five matches in Serie A, though they all finished with draw. The series started with goalless draws against Torino and Sassuolo, while continued with 1:1 draws with Milan and Chievo. Bruno Alves and Juraj Kucka were the scorers in these matches. In the last round Parma played a high scoring draw (3:3) with Sampdoria. The Gialloblu took an early lead in the second minute through Marcello Gazzola's goal, but found themselves 3:1 down by the 61st minute. However, Juraj Kucka converted a penalty in the 67th minute, while three minutes later Alessandro Bastoni equalized the result. I believe the atmosphere in the squad is positive, while the players confidence is higher. For this match D’Aversa has lot of injury and suspension worries. Juraj Kucka and Antonino Barilla are both banned, while Roberto Inglese, Nicolas Schiappacasse, Riccardo Gagliolo, Jonathan Biabiany and Alberto Grassi are all struggling with injuries. The absence of Kucka who scored in each of his last two appearances is a big handicap for the guests.
Bologna vs Parma Prediction:
I expect an interesting Emilia-Romagna Derby. Both teams need points in the relegation battle, however Bologna are closer to the victory. The home advantage is the key reason for my pick. Bologna have five victories at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara and I expect the series to continue.
Bologna vs Parma Pick: Home win @ 1.85 with Pinnacle
Possible starting lineups:
Bologna:
Skorupski; Mbaye, Danilo, Lyanco, Krejci; Pulgar, Dzemaili; Orsolini, Edera, Soriano; Palacio
Parma:
Sepe; Gazzola, Iacoponi, Bruno Alves, Bastoni, Dimarco; Rigoni, Scozzarella, Stulac; Siligardi, Gervinho
Bologna will host Parma in the Emilia-Romagna Derby. Both teams are not safe from relegation, so this match is very important. Bologna have 37 points, while Parma 38 and they are both dangerously close to the drop zone. The hosts are in solid form in the last period, although they lost 2:1 to Milan in the previous round. The defeat was undeserved according to the coach Sinisa Mihajlovic. The Serbian tactician felt his team "deserved to go at least two goals up" at San Siro. To be worse, two players were sent off on that match - Nicola Sansone and Mitchell Dijks. Worst of all, they are suspended for this match and it is a huge handicap for Bologna. But that's not all, Andrea Poli is also banned, while Federico Mattiello is sidelined through injury. At this point I will mention something positive - the home form. Bologna are in fantastic series of five victories at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara. That started against Cagliari in March when Bologna won 2:0 thanks to goals scored by Erick Pulgar and Roberto Soriano. Then came the narrow victory (2:1) over Sassuolo. Erick Pulgar and Mattia Destro were scorers on that match. The highest victory were obtain against Chievo and Sampdoria as both games ended with 3:0. Two goals from Erick Pulgar and one from Mitchell Dijks secured the victory against the Flying Donkeys, while Lorenzo Tonelli, Erick Pulgar and Riccardo Orsolini scored the goals against Sampdoria. In the last home match Bologna won 3:1 against Empoli. Roberto Soriano, Riccardo Orsolini and Nicola Sansone netted the goals two weeks ago.
As I wrote above, Parma have 38 points and sit close to the drop zone. The Ducali will face Fiorentina and Roma in the last two rounds. It is clear there is no space for any relaxation and must stay fully focused. Coach Roberto D’Aversa is feeling some pressure, as well as the players. The actual form is solid as Parma are unbeaten on the last five matches in Serie A, though they all finished with draw. The series started with goalless draws against Torino and Sassuolo, while continued with 1:1 draws with Milan and Chievo. Bruno Alves and Juraj Kucka were the scorers in these matches. In the last round Parma played a high scoring draw (3:3) with Sampdoria. The Gialloblu took an early lead in the second minute through Marcello Gazzola's goal, but found themselves 3:1 down by the 61st minute. However, Juraj Kucka converted a penalty in the 67th minute, while three minutes later Alessandro Bastoni equalized the result. I believe the atmosphere in the squad is positive, while the players confidence is higher. For this match D’Aversa has lot of injury and suspension worries. Juraj Kucka and Antonino Barilla are both banned, while Roberto Inglese, Nicolas Schiappacasse, Riccardo Gagliolo, Jonathan Biabiany and Alberto Grassi are all struggling with injuries. The absence of Kucka who scored in each of his last two appearances is a big handicap for the guests.
Bologna vs Parma Prediction:
I expect an interesting Emilia-Romagna Derby. Both teams need points in the relegation battle, however Bologna are closer to the victory. The home advantage is the key reason for my pick. Bologna have five victories at Stadio Renato Dall'Ara and I expect the series to continue.
Bologna vs Parma Pick: Home win @ 1.85 with Pinnacle