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How to win at online sports betting?

A_Skywalker

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I would love to hear from you, what are your tips on this topic. How do you win at online sports betting? Can you profit in the long term from sports betting? I will share my view on what is important.

How to win at sports betting


Choosing the best odds​


You know the bookmakers have an edge over us, the players. The odds are stacked against us. So it is very important to have accounts on a few bookmakers and to choose the best odds. For example, bet365 is my main bookmaker, they might have Manchester United at @1.75 odds to win, but Betfair where I do not have an account has @1.78. The majority of players won't open a new account for the better odds, and that's their mistake. In the long run, it adds up, your potential winnings are the most important factor. So being too lazy to open a new account is not in your favor. Have at your disposal accounts at most of the major sportsbooks and you will already be at better odds to profit in the long run.

Bonuses​


Obviously, new players benefit from bonuses more but promotions are not limited only to new players. Some bookmakers like BetOnline have tons of promotions every month. Be sure to check the promotions page of your bookmakers weekly, so you can benefit from using their platform. Make sure to read the terms and conditions first, you will have to meet the bonus clearing requirements before your bonus can be withdrawn.

Do not copy other bettors​


Do not copy tips from online forums such as this or other services that sell betting tips. A lot of people are lazy and want just to copy someone else. Instead, read posts and try to inform yourself. Make your own opinion and decide by yourself where you want to stake your money. Stay away from fixed matches too, no one is going to sell you real information like this, that will make you tons of money. It's all scams.

Do not chase losses​


Do not chase losses, increasing your bet stake will lead you to lose your entire bankroll in the end. Martingale system is maybe going to be profitable in the short term, but in the long term, it always leads to losing your entire bankroll. I have experienced this myself, so I want to make sure no one repeats my mistake.
1 or 2% of your bankroll per bet is a reasonable amount.

What's your take on this?
 
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Giresse

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For most people, being profitable from online sports bets seems completely impossible. I would like to talk about an important yet neglected factor that will, for sure, greatly increase your odds of winnings.

Are you familiar with the term value betting? Bluntly, it can be defined as an error when defining odds by a bookmaker. That is, a bookmaker underestimates the chances of winning of one team or player and thus sets a higher odd than what can be actually expected. Playing on these odds will guarantee gamblers a higher ROI in the long term. But finding these small errors isn't easy for everyone. So, how to spot these discrepancies, you may ask? That's where comes in a professional tipsters.
 

A_Skywalker

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@Giresse Yes, value betting is the most important factor. To be able to find a value bet, you need to be also very good at sports betting.
Or another thing, find a bookmaker that is slow to update odds, for example, they just announced Ronaldo won't be playing. You already know this, the bookmaker still has not updated the odds. Use this information, evaluate quickly before odds change.
 

mayertom

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Bet for fun, :D and exclude odds under 1.8. Not worth the risk. Only single bets, live bets and and only corners or goals. Never for teams. That's my strategy - i increased my winnings with more than 100% for the past 1 year. For example - match is at 15/20 min and you bet 10 euro on over 0.5 goals first half. - odds around 1.80-2.20. Simple. But be careful with the current stats. match need to be intense, with more shoots and attacks. But not only one team to dominating the other.
 

A_Skywalker

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@mayertom So for this to work is required the score to be 0-0 and around 20 minutes left from the first half? Do you recommend the same strategy for 2nd half betting? Do you bet on over 2.5 if the result is 1-1 with 20 minutes to go, or only on goalless matches?
 

mayertom

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@mayertom So for this to work is required the score to be 0-0 and around 20 minutes left from the first half? Do you recommend the same strategy for 2nd half betting? Do you bet on over 2.5 if the result is 1-1 with 20 minutes to go, or only on goalless matches?
It's the same for 1.5 / 2.5 and in some cases 3.5. But yes i use it for both half. But never make this bet pre-match. Because it's very important to have live stats and performance during the match. And don't go for every match.
Personally i prefer match to be 0-0, because in some scenarios, when one of both team scores he deciding to stop being aggressive in his attacks. And only want to hold the win and not taking any risks.

P.S Not a any advice - but you can bet some really small amounts to try this technique. :D
 

A_Skywalker

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@mayertom So to summarize, the important is both of the teams are attacking to score, and the score is a draw.

I also have another strategy but I have tried only a few times. No matter the score, but make sure the teams are not attacking fiercely at the moment. Lay the current score if you have an account at a betting exchange like Betfair. Then after 2-3 minutes if no goal is scored - back the current score on higher odds and lock yourself for a win-win situation.
 

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I will suggest this material as it's one of the best ways to calculate odds.

 

Giresse

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Checked it and sounds legit.
 
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