Guest, Read the rules.
The Rules are simple.
Don't spam. Be nice to the people here.
If you own a betting site you can advertise it in Betting picks or Personal Threads(But to post a link a user should have at least 3 posts)
With these new rules in COVID football, the old methods don't work. I decided to try the probability estimation with the use of timings. There is a value there. The priority of the strategy is the efficiency and security of investments.
STAT: Profit +25.8%, ROI +17.4%, Picks 74 (52)
STAT: Profit +13.54%, ROI +22.57%, Picks 30
STAT: picks 267, profit +9.1%, roi +3.4%
STAT: picks 89, profit +11.49%, roi +12.91%
Caught a powerful downstreak in the following markets: South Korea: K League 1, Russia FNL, Japan J1 League.
What is the reason?
1. These markets are not the main markets, since most of them are smallmarkets, that is, markets with low liquidity. The problem with such markets is that any more or less significant bet from a particular bookmaker can swing the situation quite strongly in one direction or another and affect the world market, and it is quite difficult to understand whether this is the so-called smart money or the work of robots. That's why low-liquid markets are always an attempt to catch fish in muddy water. However, the reward may also be good. But it is necessary to work on it, and I will do it, but not this season and not in the priority mode. In the meantime, such markets are in the stop list.
2. There were too many draw results at a short distance (variance outlier), and this is also one of the weaknesses of my software. When you play the AH and 1X2 markets, this happens. I practically do not use so-called insurance, because this reduces the overall efficiency and it is not this that matters at a distance, but the correct analysis of the markets. Let's just say that if the software is effective, then there is no need to slow down, there is simply no point in these actions. What gives a result gives a result. And what does not give a result, with that, and it makes no sense to be wise and insured.
3. As you understand, an important point for my software is the liquidity in the market. It does not have to be high or very high, but it must be sufficient to make effective decisions. But if the market has worked, roughly speaking, one and a half diggers, one of whom is a ludomaniac, and the other is his friend, such a market is impossible to understand where and what is moving there. And even very expensive and advanced software will not cope with this task. That is why bookmakers give low limits on all sorts of garbage leagues and risky markets for them, because they themselves do not know what the match will be and whether it will be fair, there is too little information and a sheepskin dressing is not worth getting into it.
So, the work is going on, nothing terrible has happened.